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P2170-013 IBM knowing Operations seat Technical Mastery Test v1

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P2170-013 exam Dumps Source : IBM knowing Operations seat Technical Mastery Test v1

Test Code : P2170-013
Test appellation : IBM knowing Operations seat Technical Mastery Test v1
Vendor appellation : IBM
: 31 actual Questions

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IBM IBM knowing Operations Center

IBM knowing Operations seat for Emergency management | actual Questions and Pass4sure dumps

IBM® Smarter Cities® Emergency administration options comprise a orbit of surest-of-breed applied sciences from IBM and IBM enterprise partners to tackle the emergency administration challenges facing cities. These options aid cities in amassing, consolidating, analyzing, visualizing and distributing crucial counsel among dissimilar groups and first responders.

The arm of Science & expertise and IBM Collaborate to construct an knowing Operations core for the Philippines | actual Questions and Pass4sure dumps

MANILA, Philippines, may 29, 2014 /PRNewswire/ -- The arm of Science and technology (DOST) and IBM (NYSE: IBM) these days unveiled a brand new sagacious operations core to provide a valuable aspect of command for cataclysm management. the new core will assist the Philippine government enhanced manage ongoing and future catastrophe response and restoration efforts following storm Yolanda in 2013.

instantly following the hurricane, IBM donated an impact equip of know-how and functions. As a fragment of the grant, IBM, in collaboration with relied on company partners, delivered the IBM knowing Operations core (IOC) with an built-in Communications paraphernalia (ICS) if you want to facilitate more suitable and more coordinated catastrophe administration efforts with the DOST and across a lot of govt companies.

The integrated solution will haul facts from disparate sources into a typical view, providing emergency managers with essential counsel reminiscent of ameliorate warning for extreme weather pursuits, comments from first responders on the variety of casualties and affected families, situation of constructions, roads, and infrastructure.  These allotted records sources supply analytics and situation planning to streamline and combine the government's response to mess ups. in addition, the solution will permit superior communications for first responders and emergency personnel. 

"constructing on a trusted, long hasten relationship between IBM and their national government, IBM acted without retard to mobilize and launch an impact accord with two censorious options: an knowing Operations seat for Emergency administration and an integrated Communications system," pointed out Secretary Mario Montejo, department of Science and expertise.  "IBM's provide comes with two years of support, together with an IBM-led transition team. this will ensure that they Have the competencies and skills necessary to thoroughly maximize the energy of this new know-how to gain Filipinos safer and greater resilient to hazards equivalent to Haiyan"

"in the wake of storm Yolanda, IBM groups within the US and Philippines diagnosed both the enormity of the exigency and the possibility to supply cutting edge expertise," talked about Mariels Almeda Winhoffer, President and nation regularly occurring supervisor, IBM Philippines. "These solutions will address the executive's want for enhanced choice-making benefit and on the equal time, supply a site to launch to more desirable manage future responses."

"IBM's impact supply to the Philippine govt - one in every 350 supplies they can award this 12 months - demonstrates their corporate dedication to proposing inventive expertise that can benefit in any respect phases of catastrophe," pointed out Stanley S. Litow, IBM vp, company Citizenship & corporate Affairs and President, IBM foundation.

the new facility, with an estimated market cost of the provide is $three.5 million, is located within the information and Communications know-how workplace (ICTO) constructing, Diliman, Quezon city, Philippines.

be taught greater about IBM Citizenship programs at

Contact suggestions

Owen CammayoExternal family members LeaderIBM Philippines, IncPhone: (+632) 995-2519Mobile: (+632)

Donna MattoonIBM CommunicationsCorporate Citizenship & corporate

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Copyright (C) 2014 PR Newswire. every rights reserved

IBM Applies Analytics to city Operations; Helps construct Smarter Cities | actual Questions and Pass4sure dumps

ARMONK, N.Y., June 6, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- IBM (NYSE: IBM) nowadays announced the IBM sagacious Operations core for Smarter Cities, a new solution designed to benefit cities of every sizes profit a holistic view of counsel across city departments and agencies. with the aid of infusing analytical insights into municipal operations via one valuable component of command, cities might breathe in a position to more advantageous count on issues, reply to crises, and control supplies.


The sagacious Operations seat for Smarter Cities will allow cities to exhaust recommendation and analytics to gain smarter and extra well timed selections, assisting local leaders manage a spectrum of movements, each deliberate and unplanned, akin to deploying water preservation crews to restore pumps before they wreck, alerting hearth crews to damaged fire hydrants at an emergency scene, or anticipating traffic congestion and getting ready redirection eventualities.

IDC government Insights estimates the new Smarter Cities information technology market opportunity at $34 billion in 2011, increasing greater than 18 % per year to $57 billion with the aid of 2014.

"All cities are made of a complicated paraphernalia of programs that are every inextricably linked.  The knowing Operations core for Smarter Cities acknowledges the deportment of the city as an entire, as a result offering extra coordinated and timely determination-making in response to deep insights into how each and every city paraphernalia will react to a given situation," mentioned Anne Altman, widespread manager, global Public Sector, IBM. "With more than 2,000 smarter cities engagements worldwide, they at the second are making exhaust of most dependable practices and solutions that can breathe scaled to cities of every sizes every over the world."

because the majority of the world's inhabitants strikes to metropolitan areas, key metropolis systems comparable to water, power and transportation are being strained to the breaking point. For residents, a better city can imply automatically discovering the fastest strategy to win to work, electricity and consuming water that can furthermore breathe counted on, and safer streets, to delivery. And ultra-modern more and more empowered customer expects their standards for nice of lifestyles are met to aid the urban inflow and ensuing economic boom of cities.

via a unified operations middle, cities may breathe in a position to:

  • precisely collect, dissect and act on information about metropolis systems and functions, together with public safety, transportation, water, buildings, companionable features and organizations.
  • Analyze true-time information to better model and anticipate problems to minimize the Have an upshot on of disruptions to residents.
  • combine actual-time recommendation from across dissimilar metropolis systems to allow collaborative preference making for speedy response to activities and incidents.
  • The sagacious Operations middle combines patented analytics technologies, created with the aid of IBM analysis in collaboration with cities around the globe, as well as innovative technologies obtained in concurrent acquisitions. it's furthermore designed to hasten on IBM workload-optimized systems.

    The sagacious Operations middle for Smarter Cities may furthermore breathe extended to aid lead a wide orbit of integration projects throughout the metropolis or within groups and departments. city leaders can adopt carrier options from IBM or IBM partners that integrate city management of services such as public protection, transportation, water, constructing and power management with the sagacious Operation core.  Examples of city-wide makes exhaust of supported via the sagacious Operations core for Smarter Cities embrace the administration of Public defense, Transportation and Water.

    Public defense:  IBM gives actual-time analytical solutions that enable public defense specialists to in the reduction of crime, give protection to first responders and ameliorate citizen services whereas preserving govt funds substances.  native, state, federal and non-govt authorities can harness the intelligence derived from sensors, crime information bases, cameras and integrated communications to gain smarter, more timely selections.   for example, IBM's video evaluation software working with the sagacious Operations seat for Smarter Cities can instantly celebrate and respond to actual security threats.  When coupled with video programs from partners similar to Cisco systems, the IBM solution can maneuver and coordinate video activities.

    Transportation: traffic is a crucial factor of the each day operations of any city. every yr American drivers squander an estimated 3.7 billion hours, the equal of 5 days each, sitting in site visitors burning 2.three billion gallons of fuel. latest transportation systems and infrastructures are strained and proceed to revolve into even more harassed because of the transforming into population and multiplied demands for mobility. IBM uses analytics technologies to provide travelers with real-time traffic information throughout numerous modes of traffic as a route to select the superior route for his or her shuttle. as an instance, the knowing Operations core enables analysts to assume traffic disruptions and mannequin 'what if'' situations providing alternatives to reduce traffic congestion.  automatic directives can trigger conversation and collaboration across the city departments and out to citizen indicators.

    Water: There are thousands and thousands of miles of water pipes hidden underneath cities world wide, lots of which are more than one hundred years historic. today, up to up to 60 p.c of water is lost due to leaky pipes, however with a considerate composite of planning and new know-how, preservation and repair of water infrastructure can acquire a quantum start.  IBM's near-real-time analytics can tune and record on infrastructure situations from filtration device, water pumps and valves to assortment pipes, water storage basins and laboratory machine.  The faculty to parade screen these systems in precise-time potential that potential issues corresponding to a burst water leading, a unhurried leak, a damaged pump or a hazardous squander water overflow will furthermore breathe straight away identified and resolved – and even anticipated and averted.  The knowing Operations seat for Smarter Cities can furthermore tap into geospatial records to pinpoint the accurate region of issue areas.  Over time, accelerated consciousness on water consumption can occasions alterations in attitudes, behaviors, and habits that enhance sustainability.  

    The design of the sagacious Operations seat for Smarter Cities makes it convenient to build, reuse and add superior capabilities that may deliver the entire breadth of citizen features to cities worldwide.  Smarter Cities options produced from present assets give customers with software with hardened add-ons that Have already proven themselves within the precise world.  IBM is setting up a group of enterprise partners dedicated to developing complementary solutions with talents in areas equivalent to architecture and water management, gadgets including video cameras and smart meters, and city functions application. among the enterprise companions working with IBM are: AECOM, Badger Meter, Esri, Telvent, and VirtualAgililty.

    For extra counsel about IBM Smarter Cities, delight talk over with

    Press can access images and additional info at

    Media Contact:Meredith Hannon IBM Media family members (512)

    supply IBM

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    Automation and Technology augment alive Standards | actual questions and Pass4sure dumps

    Many Americans worry that automation will significantly reduce the necessity for human employees. Historical smack should benefit to alleviate many of these concerns. Technological advances Have eliminated specific jobs and reduced prices, but the historical record shows this has left consumers with more money to disburse elsewhere, increasing the exact for human labor in other sectors of the economy. Some prominent economists intimate that this time is different. They shudder that advances in computer technology will substantially reduce the exact for human labor, especially less-skilled labor.

    The data intimate that these concerns are similarly misplaced. Productivity growth has slowed over the past decade. The less-skilled employees who are often seen as endangered by automation Have seen their employment and compensation grow at above-average rates. Automation is changing the nature of travail Americans do, but not the overall necessity for human labor. Technological progress continues to enable Americans to attain higher alive standards.

    Long-Standing Concerns

    Many analysts shudder that technological advances will soon gain much human labor redundant.[1] They prognosticate that many employers will soon necessity productive tasks for less-skilled Americans. Historically, these concerns surface most often when cyclical unemployment is high. During the distinguished Depression, British economist John Maynard Keynes predicted impending mass “technological unemployment”:

    In quite a few years—in their own lifetimes I mean—we may breathe able to execute every the operations of agriculture, mining, and manufacture with a quarter of the human effort to which they Have been accustomed.…

    …We are being afflicted with a new disease of which some readers may not yet Have heard the name, but of which they will hear a distinguished deal in the years to come—namely, technological unemployment. This means unemployment due to their discovery of means of economising the exhaust of labour outrunning the pace at which they can find new uses for labour.[2]

    After World War II, the American and British economies recovered and those fears subsided. They resurfaced in America again after the 1957 and 1960 recessions. In 1961, Time magazine reported:

    How much has the rapid spread of technological change contributed to the current elevated of 5,400,000 out of work? Labor Secretary Arthur Goldberg eventual week set up a special group to find an answer. While no one has yet sorted out the jobs lost because of the overall drop in commerce from those lost through automation and other technological changes, many a labor expert tends to upshot much of the guilt on automation.…

    In the past, new industries hired far more people than those they upshot out of business. But this is not trusty of many of today’s new industries.... Today’s new industries Have comparatively few jobs for the unskilled or semiskilled, just the class of workers whose jobs are being eliminated by automation.[3]

    Shortly afterward, the economy began a prolonged expansion that raised incomes and created millions of new jobs. By 1968, the unemployment rate fell to 3.4 percent.

    Lump of Labor Fallacy

    Fears of mass technological unemployment are predicated on a “lump of labor” model of the economy—the credit the economy needs a roughly fixed amount of travail performed.[4] In this economic model, machines automating travail formerly done by people reduce the total amount of travail remaining for humans, reducing total employment. Keynes forecast an impending exigency of unwanted leisure. He suggested future societies would establish three-hour workdays to give everyone enough travail to avoid boredom.[5]

    Almost every economists reject this model today. Economists Have establish that an almost unlimited amount of potential travail exists in the economy because people’s material desires continue to expand. Virtually every Americans today luxuriate in material alive standards vastly better than the wealthy of 1900. Nonetheless, most Americans today would purchase additional goods and services if they received a raise or bonus.

    Automation does reduce the human labor needed to bear particular goods and services, but it furthermore reduces production costs. Competition forces firms to pass these savings on to their customers through lower prices. These lower prices lead consumers to buy more of the now less-expensive product and leave them with more money to disburse elsewhere, increasing the exact for labor in those sectors of the economy. The amount of travail in the economy expands to exhaust the available labor supply.

    Economists strongly coincide on this point. The University of Chicago recently asked a panel of prominent economists whether they coincide that “advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.” Over three-fourths expressly agreed with that statement, and only one of the economists disagreed.[6]

    America’s economic history illustrates how technology reallocates—but does not eliminate—human labor. In 1910, approximately one-third of every Americans worked on farms,[7] food was expensive, and the typical family spent almost half its budget on food. By 1960, technological advances such as the tractor had reduced the symmetry of Americans working on farms to well under one-tenth.[8] This transition did not lead to mass unemployment. Instead, former farmhands began working in offices and factories. They enjoyed less expensive food and newly available manufactured goods.[9]

    Since then the manufacturing sector has furthermore establish new ways to automate tasks. Between 1960 and 2014, the symmetry of Americans working in factories fell by two-thirds even as output dramatically increased.[10] Former manufacturing workers moved into the service sector. They enjoyed even more affordable food, less expensive manufactured goods, and newly available services. As of 2003 the mediocre family spent just one-eighth of its budget on food.[11]

    Greater alive Standards

    Technological progress enables employees to bear vastly more goods and services with their labor. This increases their compensation because competitive labor markets compel employers to pay employees proportionately to their productivity. Technological advances would only reduce aggregate employment if Americans stopped spending their increased earnings on new goods and services—something that has yet to happen.


    Chart 1 illustrates this, showing mediocre U.S. hourly labor productivity between 1973 and 2014. Over this period, technological advances enabled employees’ mediocre hourly productivity to augment by 108 percent. During that time period, the mediocre hourly compensation of American employees increased almost as much—85 percent.[12] Chart 1 furthermore shows the employment-to-population ratio for prime-age workers (25-year-olds to 54-year-olds).[13] The huge augment in automation and technology had petite upshot on employment rates. Instead, employers establish jobs for the millions of women who entered the labor accommodate in the 1970s and 1980s. Historically, technological progress has increased wages with petite upshot on total employment.

    Is This Time Different?

    In the aftermath of the distinguished Recession, fears about automation Have resurfaced. Most notably, MIT Professors Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee Have raised these concerns. They and likeminded economists worry that advances in computer technology imply this time may breathe different. They believe technological advances will enable computers to eradicate most of the workforce. McAfee argues:

    When I behold what computers and robots can upshot prerogative now, I project that forward for two, three more generations, I contemplate we’re going to find ourselves in a world where the travail as they currently contemplate about it is largely done by machines.[14]

    In particular, McAfee and Brynjolfsson worry about automation eliminating the jobs of unskilled and middle-skill employees. They coincide technological progress creates opportunities for highly skilled employees who build and operate machines, but they shudder that the economy will hold far fewer opportunities for less-skilled employees. As Brynjolfsson puts it:

    There are lots of examples of routine, middle-skilled jobs that involve relatively structured tasks and those are the jobs that are being eliminated the fastest. Those kinds of jobs are easier for their friends in the simulated intelligence community to design robots to handle them.… [Technological advances are] always destroying jobs. But prerogative now the pace is accelerating. It’s faster they contemplate than ever before in history. So as a consequence, they are not creating jobs at the selfsame pace that they necessity to.[15]

    Labor market statistics upshot not back this concern. Productivity data present that the pace of automation has actually slowed in recent years. Over the past generation the earnings of less-skilled Americans Have risen faster than the economy-wide average.

    Slow Productivity Growth. Businesses upshot not emerge to breathe automating human tasks at a faster rate than before. If they were, this would augment measured labor productivity growth. The Bureau of Labor Statistics estimates productivity by dividing U.S. economic output by the total hours worked in the economy. A substantial augment in the pace of automation would allow businesses to bear as many or more goods with fewer hours of human labor. This would emerge in the labor statistics as faster productivity growth.


    This has not happened. Chart 2 shows the year-over-year percent change in labor productivity for the non-farm commerce sector over the past four decades, as well as a four-year stirring mediocre that smooths annual fluctuations. Productivity growth increased noticeably in the late 1990s and the early 2000s. From 2003 onward, however, productivity growth trended downward. mediocre productivity jumped in 2009 as businesses going through layoffs tried to lay off their least productive employees. That surge immediately subsided. Since 2010, productivity has grown at an abnormally unhurried rate. In the most recent year of data, labor productivity actually fell 0.1 percent. Although employees are more productive now than in the past, overall productivity is increasing more slowly.

    Concerns about rapidly accelerating computing power increasing productivity so much it reduces total employment are fears about a future possibility. Over the past decade, productivity growth has slowed even as computer power has increased exponentially.

    The Earnings of Less-Skilled Employees Increase. Concerns about automation eliminating employment opportunities for less-skilled employees furthermore upshot not present up in the data. Over the past generation their total compensation has increased rapidly.

    The Congressional Budget Office measures total labor market compensation—cash wages, salaries, and non-cash benefits, such as health custody and retirement contributions—for each quintile of the income distribution.[16] Chart 3 shows the percent growth in total inflation-adjusted labor compensation for non-elderly childless households between 1979 and 2011 (the most recent data available).[17]


    Since 1979, labor market compensation grew the fastest in the top quintile of these households—up 69 percent. perverse to approved impression, the next fastest growth in labor market compensation occurred in the bottom quintile. The mediocre labor market compensation of households in the bottom fifth of non-elderly childless households grew 58 percent between 1979 and 2011—more than 25 percentage points faster than any of the middle three quintiles.

    Chart 4 shows a similar dynamic at work. It comes from the research of MIT economist David Autor. The chart depicts income growth for the 10 major occupational groupings in the U.S. economy, with those occupations ranked from left to prerogative by the required even of skills. This device looks only at wages, not total household compensation. Consequently, it is not directly comparable with Chart 3. Nonetheless, it shows the selfsame pattern of the fastest earnings growth occurring in high-skill and low-skill occupations, with slower wage growth in moderately skilled jobs.


    Over the past generation, individuals at the bottom of the income distribution Have seen their economic opportunities expand significantly. This is hard to reconcile with hypotheses that automation is eliminating the least-skilled employees’ jobs. Instead, it points to more complicated effects of technological progress on the labor market.

    Limits of Automation

    Computers Have both more and less power than most people perceive. Autor explains that machines are incredibly genuine at doing repetitive tasks that upshot not require any judgment or variation, such as calculating sums in an accounting spreadsheet or fitting a bolt in site on the assembly line. Computers typically upshot these tasks faster and more accurately than humans can. Employment has fallen rapidly in such “routine” occupations as automation has replaced human labor.

    However, computers Have distinguished vicissitude performing non-routine tasks. Although more fluid algorithms that acquire into account computer “learning” possibilities are being refined, computers soundless upshot what their program tells them to—and nothing else. Computer programmers must specify in detail every contingency that the machine might encounter. What often looks devotion computers adapting to their surroundings is in fact them following very circumstantial operating instructions.[18]

    Consequently, computers cannot handle many non-routine activities that most people find straightforward. They are simply too complicated for their programs to account for every possibility. For example, Autor points out that and other online retailers exhaust human “pickers” to identify, retrieve, and pack the goods that they ship their customers. The shape and size of goods being shipped changes constantly from package to package. Amazon has not been able to develop robots that can execute these seemingly simple but not entirely routine tasks. Instead, online retailers exhaust big numbers of robots to bring palettes of particular goods to their human employees. Humans upshot every the labor involved in handling individual items, then the robots ride the palettes away.[19]

    Even some of the evident successes of automation are far less than they appear. Google’s advances in self-driving automobile technology Have made headlines. However, the Google Car operates by comparing its location to very circumstantial maps of the road, street signs, and every known obstacles. Google employees must enter these data manually. The Google Car cannot operate over unfamiliar terrain. If it faces an unmapped road closure or detour, it shuts down and requires a human driver to acquire over. It will ignore newly erected stoplights not in its database. Google Cars Have safely driven more than 700,000 miles—by driving over the selfsame already mapped miles time and time again.[20] Computers can upshot routine tasks incredibly well, but struggle when confronted with non-routine work.

    Labor Market Polarization

    Autor’s research shows that this dynamic explains the counterintuitive pattern of compensation growth shown in Charts 3 and 4. Computers Have automated many routine white collar and blue collar jobs. exceed spreadsheets and Outlook calendars Have dramatically reduced the necessity for accountant and secretarial labor. Machines now upshot the travail that was once performed by millions of manufacturing employees. These routine jobs watch to equivocate in the middle of the skill and income distribution. Non-routine tasks watch to equivocate at the top and bottom of the income distribution. As a result, employment exact and, consequently, earnings Have risen more rapidly in non-routine jobs, particularly in the service sector.[21]


    Chart 5, reproduced from David Autor’s research, illustrates how increased automation has affected employment patterns. Since the late 1970s, employment has grown rapidly in high-skilled non-routine jobs, such as professional and technical occupations. It has grown rapidly in low-skill non-routine jobs, such as food preparation and personal care. Yet employment has grown more slowly—or contracted—in routine occupations requiring qualify skill levels, such as manufacturing or administrative record-keeping jobs. These are precisely the jobs that machines can perform.

    Many on the left guilt the slower growth of middle-income jobs on U.S. policies. They point in particular to insufficiently pro-union labor laws.[22] However, Autor’s research shows that this is a global phenomenon. Relative employment in middle-skill jobs has shrunk in nearly every developed country. Chart 6 comes from Autor’s research and shows changes in low-skill, middle-skill, and high-skill employment for 16 European Union countries between 1993 and 2010. In almost every country, relative employment increased in high-skill and low-skill jobs and decreased in middle-skill jobs. Most of these EU nations Have far higher taxes and far stronger unions than the U.S. does. Nonetheless, they experienced the selfsame employment patterns. This evidence points to factors, such as technological advances and globalization, that carve across national boundaries and public policy choices. Robots Have not eliminated work, but they Have slightly changed the types of jobs that humans do.


    Technology Can augment the necessity for Human Labor

    The relationship between technological progress and jobs is more complicated than computers simply eliminating routine work. Many jobs incorporate both routine and non-routine tasks. Employees in these jobs upshot not necessarily necessity to shudder automation. By eliminating routine tasks technological advances reduce the time and cost of completing their work. This increases output and can leave the overall necessity for human labor unchanged or even increased.

    The construction industry demonstrates this effect. Technology has made today’s construction workers vastly more productive than their predecessors two generations ago. Cranes and backhoes Have replaced shovels and elbow grease, but those machines necessity human operators. Too many unpredictable events acquire site on a construction site to allow computers to operate the paraphernalia autonomously. The lower cost of constructing buildings has furthermore dramatically increased the quantity of construction travail demanded. As a result, total construction employment has remained a relatively constant participate of the overall workforce since the mid-1940s. From 1946 onward, construction employment has never constituted less than 4 percent or more than 6 percent of the U.S. workforce, despite enormous technological progress.

    A more modern specimen of this phenomenon comes from restaurant tablets. Applebee’s, Chili’s, and other casual restaurants Have installed tabletop tablets for customers to order and pay for their food. The new technology might reduce payrolls by allowing each server to cover more tables. However, the tablets furthermore boost sales. Customers are more likely to order appetizers and desserts when the tablets constantly parade them. The faculty to pay immediately furthermore cuts the mediocre meal time by about five minutes. Consequently, tablet-equipped restaurants can serve more patrons during diligent periods. This increases exact for employees who cook the food to order, appetizingly plate it, interact with customers, and bus the tables afterward.[23]

    Whether or not these tablets will reduce the total necessity for human labor remains unclear. Applebee’s announced that it has not reduced total staffing since introducing the tablets.[24] Furthermore, tablets furthermore augment tips by setting the default option to 20 percent, boosting servers’ take-home pay. Automation will change—but not eliminate—many jobs that combine routine and non-routine tasks.

    Future Developments

    Historical smack shows that individuals respond to technological changes by finding new jobs, typically jobs that pay more than before automation was introduced. However, technology will probably eradicate some existing occupations. Programmers will almost certainly learn how to render “routine” many tasks computers cannot currently handle. Many jobs that once appeared out of attain for automation are now being performed by machines:

  • Cleaning hotel rooms has long required human labor, supplemented by technology such as vacuum cleaners and washing machines. The tasks of making a bed or removing nasty laundry from the floor were sufficiently non-routine to foil attempts to automate them. However, a soon-to-open Japanese hotel will exhaust robots to execute reception duties, carry luggage, and antiseptic rooms. The hotel will suffuse $60 a night.[25]
  • Engineers Have invented a machine that cooks 360 gourmet hamburgers an hour. The Alpha custom grills hamburger patties to order, sears the outside to maximize flavor, and cooks them in an internal oven. It then adds freshly sliced toppings and the desired condiments, places the cooked burger in a bun, and bags it. Humans only stock the ingredients and execute maintenance. The Alpha could deliver the typical snappy food restaurant more than $100,000 per year in labor costs. The inventors are currently prototyping it at individual restaurants.[26]
  • Computers Have begun writing routine word articles. Many events occur with petite variation in the structure needed to report on them, such as economic word releases and sports events. Computer algorithms now dissect pertinent information for readers and translate it into prose. For example, uses such algorithms to summarize corporate earnings announcements. Computers cannot handle more complicated stories and are unlikely to develop that ability, but they can summarize regularly recurring events well.[27]
  • IBM’s Watson computer is so sophisticated that it can detect correlations among research papers that human researchers Have yet to discover. For example, in the bailiwick of cancer research, Watson analyzed more than 70,000 academic articles in 2014, leading to the discovery of six proteins that should breathe targeted for new research. One scientist illustrious that Watson made connections that he would Have needed 38 years to gain and only by reading five academic papers per day.[28] By making these types of groundbreaking causal links, Watson has demonstrated a marked technological advancement. However, it represents technology’s faculty to find connections quicker than humans, not an faculty to generate original research and new ideas.
  • Technological advancements devotion these will reshape the route that millions of employees upshot their jobs. Some jobs will disappear, but new tasks—primarily non-routine tasks—will supersede jobs that Have been automated. Such changes upshot not chance instantaneously, and most people will Have time to adapt. Those who cannot adjust could breathe hurt, but automation will lower prices and raise alive standards in the economy overall. Most Americans will prosper as a result.

    Responding to Technological Innovation

    Technological innovation will continue. Policymakers should respond to these challenges by promoting policies that gain it easier for Americans to find new jobs.

    For example, one-third of jobs in the economy require a government license.[29] In some occupations this makes sense. Few customers would want an untrained pharmacist filling their prescription. Yet in many other occupations public safety does not require stringent licensing; it primarily exists to restrict access to a profession. For example, every state licenses barbers, requiring an mediocre of more than a year of training before prospective barbers can carve hair.[30] These requirements Have no obvious safety rationale: A unfavorable haircut threatens no one’s life. Such exorbitant licensing makes it difficult for employees who lose their jobs to automation to switch occupations. state legislatures should restrict mandatory licensing to occupations with grave health and safety considerations. Potential cosmetologists, florists, interior designers, bartenders, and drywall installers should not necessity the government’s permission to change careers. Reducing these simulated barriers would gain it easier for employees to adjust in a changing economy.

    State and federal policymakers can furthermore gain it easier for employees to switch jobs by eliminating unnecessary paper credentials for government positions. The K–12 education system is a big employer and continues to exhaust paper credentials, such as master’s degrees, to structure compensation and determine access to the classroom. States should gain it easier to enter the classroom by removing barriers to entry such as teacher certification requirements, but evaluate teachers more rigorously once they are in the classroom.

    Education Reforms

    Beyond helping individuals switch jobs, policymakers should reform the education system to benefit tomorrow’s employees gain the skills necessary to travail in higher-paying non-routine jobs. Policymakers can upshot this in several ways.

    States should ride toward competency-based learning for both K–12 and higher education. Competency-based learning enables students to progress in their education as soon as they can demonstrate content mastery, instead of using seat time as a proxy for learning. It furthermore enables students with professional smack or training to test out of courses and expedite their entry into the workforce.

    Public policy reforms are needed to allow innovation to wave in elevated schools, colleges, and career and technical fields. One of the keys to unlocking innovation is to win the federal government out of the higher education accreditation commerce and to hand that responsibility back to the market. The current regulatory barriers gain it prohibitively expensive for most potential new education institutions to train students. To foster a competitive marketplace of higher education content providers—be it academic or career-technical—federal policymakers should free the higher education regulatory environment so that businesses, industry, nonprofits, and colleges and universities can deliver content to prospective students from every walks of life to give them the skills needed to breathe successful in an ever-changing economy.

    Specifically, Congress should decouple federal financing (federal student loans and grants) from accreditation and enable states to allow any entity to accredit and credential courses. Senator Mike Lee (R–UT) and Representative Ron DeSantis (R–FL) Have introduced companion proposals known as the Higher Education Reform and opportunity Act (H.R. 1287 and S. 649), which would allow states to determine who can accredit and credential courses and, importantly, would allow individual courses to breathe credentialed. Reforms to remove the “gatekeeper” office of accreditation could furthermore breathe achieved by amending the Higher Education Act to decouple federal financing from accreditation. As Senator Lee explains:

    [A]ccreditation could furthermore breathe available to specialized programs, individual courses, apprenticeships, professional credentialing, and even competency-based tests. States could accredit online courses, or hybrid models with elements on- and off-campus… businesses, and trade groups could start to accredit courses and programs tailored to their evolving needs. Churches and charities could enlist qualified volunteers to present accredited classes and training for next to nothing.[31]

    The current regulatory system stifles innovation and makes it harder for individuals outside the traditional college demographic to ameliorate their skills. Such reforms would gain higher education less bureaucratic and more responsive to individual’s needs.


    Automation reduces both labor costs and prices. Lower prices leave customers with more money to disburse elsewhere, increasing the exact for labor elsewhere in the economy. Automation changes where and how people work, but it has not historically reduced the overall necessity for human employees.

    Little empirical evidence suggests this time is different. Productivity growth slowed over the past decade after increasing in the late 1990s. The wages of the lowest-earning employees Have furthermore increased rapidly over the past generation. Instead of eliminating human labor, technological advances are reducing the necessity for humans in routine jobs and increasing the necessity in non-routine jobs. This pattern has occurred in America and around the world.

    Policymakers should respond to these changes by making it easier for displaced workers to switch jobs, such as by relaxing occupational licensing requirements and stirring toward policies that allow for a more spry K–12 and higher education system to flourish.

    —James Sherk is Research Fellow in Labor Economics in the seat for Data Analysis, of the Institute for Economic liberty and Opportunity, at The tradition Foundation. Lindsey M. Burke is the Will Skillman Fellow in Education Policy in the Institute for Family, Community, and opportunity at The tradition Foundation.

    America's Next Quest for Domination | actual questions and Pass4sure dumps

    It's 2025 and an American "triple canopy" of advanced surveillance and armed drones fills the heavens from the lower- to the exo-atmosphere. A miracle of the modern age, it can deliver its weaponry anywhere on the planet with staggering speed, knock out an enemy's satellite communications system, or ensue individuals biometrically for distinguished distances. Along with the country's advanced cyberwar capacity, it's furthermore the most sophisticated militarized information system ever created and an insurance policy for U.S. global dominion deep into the twenty-first century. It's the future as the Pentagon imagines it; it's under development; and Americans know nothing about it.

    They are soundless operating in another age. "Our Navy is smaller now than at any time since 1917," complained Republican candidate Mitt Romney during the eventual presidential debate.

    With words of withering mockery, President Obama shot back: "Well, Governor, they furthermore Have fewer horses and bayonets, because the nature of their military's changed... the question is not a game of Battleship, where we're counting ships. It's what are their capabilities."

    Obama later offered just a hint of what those capabilities might be: "What I did was travail with their joint chiefs of staff to contemplate about, what are they going to necessity in the future to gain positive that they are safe?... They necessity to breathe thinking about cyber security. They necessity to breathe talking about space."

    Amid every the post-debate media chatter, however, not a single commentator seemed to Have a clue when it came to the profound strategic changes encoded in the president's sparse words. Yet for the past four years, working in silence and secrecy, the Obama administration has presided over a technological revolution in defense planning, stirring the nation far beyond bayonets and battleships to cyberwarfare and the full-scale weaponization of space. In the face of waning economic influence, this bold new breakthrough in what's called "information warfare" may prove significantly accountable should U.S. global dominion in some measure continue far into the twenty-first century.

    While the technological changes involved are nothing less than revolutionary, they Have deep historical roots in a distinctive style of American global power. It's been evident from the second this nation first stepped onto the world stage with its conquest of the Philippines in 1898. Over the span of a century, plunged into three Asian crucibles of counterinsurgency -- in the Philippines, Vietnam, and Afghanistan -- the U.S. military has repeatedly been pushed to the breaking point. It has repeatedly responded by fusing the nation's most advanced technologies into new information infrastructures of unprecedented power.

    That military first created a manual information regime for Philippine pacification, then a computerized apparatus to fight communist guerrillas in Vietnam. Finally, during its decade-plus in Afghanistan (and its years in Iraq), the Pentagon has begun to fuse biometrics, cyberwarfare, and a potential future triple canopy aerospace shield into a robotic information regime that could bear a platform of unprecedented power for the exercise of global dominion -- or for future military disaster.

    America's First Information Revolution

    This distinctive U.S. system of imperial information gathering (and the surveillance and war-making practices that ride with it) traces its origins to some brilliant American innovations in the management of textual, statistical, and visual data. Their sum was nothing less than a new information infrastructure with an unprecedented capacity for mass surveillance.

    During two extraordinary decades, American inventions devotion Thomas Alva Edison's quadruplex telegraph (1874), Philo Remington's commercial typewriter (1874), Melvil Dewey's library decimal system (1876), and Herman Hollerith's patented punch card (1889) created synergies that led to the militarized application of America's first information revolution. To mollify a determined guerrilla resistance that persisted in the Philippines for a decade after 1898, the U.S. colonial regime -- unlike European empires with their cultural studies of "Oriental civilizations" -- used these advanced information technologies to amass circumstantial empirical data on Philippine society. In this way, they forged an Argus-eyed security apparatus that played a major role in crushing the Filipino nationalist movement. The resulting colonial policing and surveillance system would furthermore leave a lasting institutional imprint on the emerging American state.

    When the U.S. entered World War I in 1917, the "father of U.S. military intelligence" Colonel Ralph Van Deman drew upon security methods he had developed years before in the Philippines to establish the Army's Military Intelligence Division. He recruited a staff that quickly grew from one (himself) to 1,700, deployed some 300,000 citizen-operatives to compile more than a million pages of surveillance reports on American citizens, and laid the foundations for a permanent domestic surveillance apparatus.

    A version of this system rose to unparalleled success during World War II when Washington established the Office of Strategic Services (OSS) as the nation's first worldwide espionage agency. Among its nine branches, Research & Analysis recruited a staff of nearly 2,000 academics who amassed 300,000 photographs, a million maps, and three million file cards, which they deployed in an information system via "indexing, cross-indexing, and counter-indexing" to reply countless tactical questions.

    Yet by early 1944, the OSS establish itself, in the words of historian Robin Winks, "drowning under the tide of information." Many of the materials it had so carefully collected were left to molder in storage, unread and unprocessed. Despite its ambitious global reach, this first U.S. information regime, absent technological change, might well Have collapsed under its own weight, slowing the tide of exotic intelligence that would prove so crucial for America's exercise of global dominion after World War II.

    Computerizing Vietnam

    Under the pressures of a never-ending war in Vietnam, those running the U.S. information infrastructure turned to computerized data management, launching a second American information regime. Powered by the most advanced IBM mainframe computers, the U.S. military compiled monthly tabulations of security in every of South Vietnam's 12,000 villages and filed the three million enemy documents its soldiers captured annually on giant reels of bar-coded film. At the selfsame time, the CIA collated and computerized diverse data on the communist civilian infrastructure as fragment of its infamous Phoenix Program. This, in turn, became the basis for its systematic tortures and 41,000 "extra-judicial executions" (which, based on disinformation from petty local grudges and communist counterintelligence, killed many but failed to capture more than a handfull of top communist cadres).

    Most ambitiously, the U.S. Air accommodate spent $800 million a year to lace southern Laos with a network of 20,000 acoustic, seismic, thermal, and ammonia-sensitive sensors to pinpoint Hanoi's truck convoys coming down the Ho Chi Minh Trail under a weighty jungle canopy. The information these provided was then gathered on computerized systems for the targeting of incessant bombing runs. After 100,000 North Vietnamese troops passed prerogative through this electronic grid undetected with trucks, tanks, and weighty artillery to launch the Nguyen Hue vile in 1972, the U.S. Pacific Air accommodate pronounced this bold attempt to build an "electronic battlefield" an unqualified failure.

    In this pressure cooker of what became history's largest air war, the Air accommodate furthermore accelerated the transformation of a new information system that would tower to significance three decades later: the Firebee target drone. By war's end, it had morphed into an increasingly agile unmanned aircraft that would gain 3,500 top-secret surveillance sorties over China, North Vietnam, and Laos. By 1972, the SC/TV drone, with a camera in its nose, was capable of flying 2,400 miles while navigating via a low-resolution television image.

    On balance, every this computerized data helped foster the illusion that American "pacification" programs in the countryside were winning over the inhabitants of Vietnam's villages, and the delusion that the air war was successfully destroying North Vietnam's supply effort. Despite a dismal succession of short-term failures that helped deliver a soul-searing blow to American power, every this computerized data-gathering proved a seminal experiment, even if its advances would not become evident for another 30 years until the U.S. began creating a third -- robotic -- information regime.

    The Global War on Terror

    As it establish itself at the edge of overcome in the attempted pacification of two complicated societies, Afghanistan and Iraq, Washington responded in fragment by adapting new technologies of electronic surveillance, biometric identification, and drone warfare -- every of which are now melding into what may become an information regime far more powerful and destructive than anything that has promote before.

    After six years of a failing counterinsurgency effort in Iraq, the Pentagon discovered the power of biometric identification and electronic surveillance to mollify the country's sprawling cities. It then built a biometric database with more than a million Iraqi fingerprints and iris scans that U.S. patrols on the streets of Baghdad could access instantaneously by satellite link to a computer seat in West Virginia.

    When President Obama took office and launched his "surge," escalating the U.S. war effort in Afghanistan, that country became a new frontier for testing and perfecting such biometric databases, as well as for full-scale drone war in both that country and the Pakistani tribal borderlands, the latest wrinkle in a technowar already loosed by the Bush administration. This meant accelerating technological developments in drone warfare that had largely been suspended for two decades after the Vietnam War.

    Launched as an experimental, unarmed surveillance aircraft in 1994, the Predator drone was first deployed in 2000 for combat surveillance under the CIA's "Operation Afghan Eyes." By 2011, the advanced MQ-9 Reaper drone, with "persistent hunter killer" capabilities, was heavily armed with missiles and bombs as well as sensors that could read disturbed dirt at 5,000 feet and track footprints back to enemy installations. Indicating the torrid pace of drone development, between 2004 and 2010 total flying time for every unmanned vehicles rose from just 71 hours to 250,000 hours.

    By 2009, the Air accommodate and the CIA were already deploying a drone armada of at least 195 Predators and 28 Reapers inside Afghanistan, Iraq, and Pakistan -- and it's only grown since. These collected and transmitted 16,000 hours of video daily, and from 2006-2012 fired hundreds of Hellfire missiles that killed an estimated 2,600 reputed insurgents inside Pakistan's tribal areas. Though the second-generation Reaper drones might seem stunningly sophisticated, one defense analyst has called them "very much Model T Fords." Beyond the battlefield, there are now some 7,000 drones in the U.S. armada of unmanned aircraft, including 800 larger missile-firing drones. By funding its own fleet of 35 drones and borrowing others from the Air Force, the CIA has moved beyond passive intelligence collection to build a permanent robotic paramilitary capacity.

    In the selfsame years, another shape of information warfare came, quite literally, online. Over two administrations, there has been continuity in the development of a cyberwarfare capability at home and abroad. Starting in 2002, President George W. Bush illegally authorized the National Security Agency to scan countless millions of electronic messages with its top-secret "Pinwale" database. Similarly, the FBI started an Investigative Data Warehouse that, by 2009, held a billion individual records.

    Under Presidents Bush and Obama, defensive digital surveillance has grown into an vile "cyberwarfare" capacity, which has already been deployed against Iran in history's first significant cyberwar. In 2009, the Pentagon formed U.S. Cyber Command (CYBERCOM), with headquarters at Ft. Meade, Maryland, and a cyberwarfare seat at Lackland Air foundation in Texas, staffed by 7,000 Air accommodate employees. Two years later, it declared cyberspace an "operational domain" devotion air, land, or sea, and began putting its energy into developing a cadre of cyber-warriors capable of launching vile operations, such as a variety of attacks on the computerized centrifuges in Iran's nuclear facilities and Middle Eastern banks handling Iranian money.

    A Robotic Information Regime

    As with the Philippine Insurrection and the Vietnam War, the occupations of Iraq and Afghanistan Have served as the leavening for a new information regime, fusing aerospace, cyberspace, biometrics, and robotics into an apparatus of potentially unprecedented power. In 2012, after years of ground warfare in both countries and the continuous expansion of the Pentagon budget, the Obama administration announced a leaner future defense strategy. It included a 14% carve in future infantry force to breathe compensated for by an increased emphasis on investments in the dominions of outer space and cyberspace, particularly in what the administration calls "critical space-based capabilities."

    By 2020, this new defense architecture should theoretically breathe able to integrate space, cyberspace, and terrestrial combat through robotics for -- so the claims ride -- the delivery of seamless information for lethal action. Significantly, both space and cyberspace are new, unregulated domains of military conflict, largely beyond international law. And Washington hopes to exhaust both, without limitation, as Archimedean levers to exercise new forms of global dominion far into the twenty-first century, just as the British Empire once ruled from the seas and the cold War American imperium exercised its global attain via airpower.

    As Washington seeks to surveil the globe from space, the world might well ask: Just how elevated is national sovereignty? Absent any international agreement about the upright extent of sovereign airspace (since a conference on international air law, convened in Paris in 1910, failed), some puckish Pentagon counsel might reply: only as elevated as you can implement it. And Washington has filled this legal void with a covert executive matrix -- operated by the CIA and the clandestine Special Operations Command -- that assigns names arbitrarily, without any judicial oversight, to a classified "kill list" that means silent, sudden death from the sky for terror suspects across the Muslim world.

    Although U.S. plans for space warfare remain highly classified, it is workable to assemble the pieces of this aerospace perplex by trolling the Pentagon's websites, and finding many of the key components in technical descriptions at the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA). As early as 2020, the Pentagon hopes to patrol the entire globe ceaselessly, relentlessly via a triple canopy space shield reaching from stratosphere to exosphere, driven by drones armed with agile missiles, linked by a resilient modular satellite system, monitored through a telescopic panopticon, and operated by robotic controls.

    At the lowest tier of this emerging U.S. aerospace shield, within striking distance of Earth in the lower stratosphere, the Pentagon is edifice an armada of 99 Global Hawk drones equipped with high-resolution cameras capable of surveilling every terrain within a 100-mile radius, electronic sensors to intercept communications, efficient engines for continuous 24-hour flights, and eventually Triple Terminator missiles to squander targets below. By late 2011, the Air accommodate and the CIA had already ringed the Eurasian land mass with a network of 60 bases for drones armed with Hellfire missiles and GBU-30 bombs, allowing air strikes against targets just about anywhere in Europe, Africa, or Asia.

    The sophistication of the technology at this even was exposed in December 2011 when one of the CIA's RQ-170 Sentinels came down in Iran. Revealed was a bat-winged drone equipped with radar-evading stealth capacity, vigorous electronically scanned array radar, and advanced optics "that allow operators to positively identify terror suspects from tens of thousands of feet in the air."

    If things ride according to plan, in this selfsame lower tier at altitudes up to 12 miles unmanned aircraft such as the "Vulture," with solar panels covering its massive 400-foot wingspan, will breathe patrolling the globe ceaselessly for up to five years at a time with sensors for "unblinking" surveillance, and possibly missiles for lethal strikes. Establishing the viability of this new technology, NASA's solar-powered aircraft Pathfinder, with a 100-foot wingspan, reached an altitude of 71,500 feet altitude in 1997, and its fourth-generation successor the "Helios" flew at 97,000 feet with a 247-foot wingspan in 2001, two miles higher than any previous aircraft.

    For the next tier above the Earth, in the upper stratosphere, DARPA and the Air accommodate are collaborating in the development of the Falcon Hypersonic Cruise Vehicle. Flying at an altitude of 20 miles, it is expected to "deliver 12,000 pounds of payload at a distance of 9,000 marine miles from the continental United States in less than two hours." Although the first test launches in April 2010 and August 2011 crashed midflight, they did attain an astounding 13,000 miles per hour, 22 times the quicken of sound, and sent back "unique data" that should benefit resolve remaining aerodynamic problems.

    At the outer even of this triple-tier aerospace canopy, the age of space warfare dawned in April 2010 when the Pentagon quietly launched the X-37B space drone, an unmanned craft just 29 feet long, into an orbit 250 miles above the Earth. By the time its second prototype landed at Vandenberg Air accommodate foundation in June 2012 after a 15-month flight, this classified mission represented a successful test of "robotically controlled reusable spacecraft" and established the viability of unmanned space drones in the exosphere.

    At this apex of the triple canopy, 200 miles above Earth where the space drones will soon roam, orbital satellites are the prime targets, a vulnerability that became obvious in 2007 when China used a ground-to-air missile to shoot down one of its own satellites. In response, the Pentagon is now developing the F-6 satellite system that will "decompose a big monolithic spacecraft into a group of wirelessly linked elements, or nodes [that increases] resistance to... a unfavorable fragment breaking or an adversary attacking." And back in intuition that the X-37B has a capacious cargo bay to carry missiles or future laser weaponry to knock out enemy satellites -- in other words, the potential capability to cripple the communications of a future military rival devotion China, which will Have its own global satellite system operational by 2020.

    Ultimately, the impact of this third information regime will breathe shaped by the faculty of the U.S. military to integrate its array of global aerospace weaponry into a robotic command structure that would breathe capable of coordinating operations across every combat domains: space, cyberspace, sky, sea, and land. To manage the surging torrent of information within this delicately balanced triple canopy, the system would, in the end, Have to become self-maintaining through "robotic manipulator technologies," such as the Pentagon's FREND system that someday could potentially deliver fuel, provide repairs, or reposition satellites.

    For a new global optic, DARPA is edifice the wide-angle Space Surveillance Telescope (SST), which could breathe sited at bases ringing the globe for a quantum leap in "space surveillance." The system would allow future space warriors to behold the whole sky wrapped around the entire planet while seated before a single screen, making it workable to track every object in Earth orbit.

    Operation of this complicated worldwide apparatus will require, as one DARPA official explained in 2007, "an integrated collection of space surveillance systems -- an architecture -- that is leak-proof." Thus, by 2010, the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency had 16,000 employees, a $5 billion budget, and a massive $2 billion headquarters at Fort Belvoir, Virginia, with 8,500 staffers wrapped in electronic security -- every aimed at coordinating the flood of surveillance data pouring in from Predators, Reapers, U-2 spy planes, Global Hawks, X-37B space drones, Google Earth, Space Surveillance Telescopes, and orbiting satellites. By 2020 or thereafter -- such a complicated techno-system is unlikely to respect schedules -- this triple canopy should breathe able to atomize a single "terrorist" with a missile strike after tracking his eyeball, facial image, or heat signature for hundreds of miles through bailiwick and favela, or blind an entire army by knocking out every ground communications, avionics, and naval navigation.

    Technological Dominion or Techno-Disaster?

    Peering into the future, a soundless uncertain balance of forces offers two competing scenarios for the continuation of U.S. global power. If every or much goes according to plan, sometime in the third decade of this century the Pentagon will complete a comprehensive global surveillance system for Earth, sky, and space using robotics to coordinate a veritable flood of data from biometric street-level monitoring, cyber-data mining, a worldwide network of Space Surveillance Telescopes, and triple canopy aeronautic patrols. Through agile data management of exceptional power, this system might allow the United States a veto of global lethality, an equalizer for any further loss of economic strength.

    However, as in Vietnam, history offers some pessimistic parallels when it comes to the U.S. preserving its global hegemony by militarized technology alone. Even if this robotic information regime could in some measure check China's growing military power, the U.S. might soundless Have the selfsame chance of controlling wider geopolitical forces with aerospace technology as the Third Reich had of winning World War II with its "super weapons" -- V-2 rockets that rained death on London and Messerschmitt Me-262 jets that blasted allied bombers from Europe's skies. Complicating the future further, the illusion of information omniscience might predispose Washington to more military misadventures akin to Vietnam or Iraq, creating the possibility of yet more expensive, draining conflicts, from Iran to the South China Sea.

    If the future of America's world power is shaped by actual events rather than long-term economic trends, then its portion might well breathe determined by which comes first in this century-long cycle: military debacle from the illusion of technological mastery, or a new technological regime powerful enough to perpetuate U.S. global dominion.

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