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Security Support Professional (JNCSP-SEC) exam

Grand Canyon education Inc (LOPE) Q1 2019 revenue call Transcript | JN0-696 Real Questions and VCE Practice Test

Logo of jester cap with thought bubble.

photo supply: The Motley idiot.

Grand Canyon training Inc (NASDAQ:LOPE)Q1 2019 salary CallMay. 7, 2019, four:30 p.m. ET

Contents:
  • prepared Remarks
  • Questions and solutions
  • name contributors
  • prepared Remarks:

    Operator

    decent day, women and gents, and welcome to the primary Quarter 2019 Grand Canyon education profits convention name. at the present, all contributors are in a pay attention-most effective mode. And later, they can habits a query-and-reply session. (Operator guidelines) As a reminder, this convention is being recorded. i would now like to hand the name over to Mr. Dan Bachus, CFO. You may begin.

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief financial Officer

    thanks. becoming a member of me on modern name is their Chairman and CEO, Brian Mueller. Please note that lots of their comments nowadays will comprise ahead-looking statements that involve hazards and uncertainties. a variety of factors may trigger their exact outcomes to be materially distinct from any future effects expressed or implied by such statements. These components are discussed in their SEC filings, together with their Annual report on kind 10-okay, quarterly stories on form 10-Q and present experiences on form 8-k. They undertake no duty to provide updates with regard to the ahead-looking statements made all over this call and they recommend that all buyers overview these reviews totally earlier than taking a financial place in GCE.

    And with that, i'll flip the name over to Brian.

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief govt Officer, President and Director

    respectable afternoon, and welcome to Grand Canyon training's first quarter fiscal yr 2019 convention name. throughout the first quarter of 2019, enrollment within the classes at their accomplice universities for which they provide capabilities elevated 11.3% to one zero one,679. This increase contains three,384 enrollments in courses serviced via Orbis training as of March 31, 2019. New working adult college students attending in their partner institutions grew within the low teenagers yr-over-12 months. On a comparable groundwork, complete enrollment grew 8.5% and new enrollments grew within the excessive single digits.

    I need to start by using reviewing the whole scope of capabilities provided by Grand Canyon training to Grand Canyon tuition right through the first quarter and at last to further accomplice institutions. it is the breadth of features that could be probably the most defining qualities of Grand Canyon education OPM industry.

    First, from the curriculum development enviornment , 4 new programs had been released to the college. These classes have been grasp of Social Work, master of Arts in larger schooling pupil Affairs, Bachelor of Science in Public health, and schooling specialist, educating and studying.

    there have been three emphasis areas launched within the quarter. these have been grasp of Public Administration with an emphasis in non-earnings administration, grasp of Science and arithmetic with an emphasis in training, grasp of Science in intellectual fitness and well being with an emphasis on integrated health.

    There additionally eight new graduate certificates completion in areas of communications, English, heritage, mathematics, sociology, mental health and wellness with an emphasis on Christian ministry, intellectual health and wellness with an emphasis in grief and bereavement, in healthcare quality and patient security.

    2d from services enviornment, there have been 238 full-time and adjunct school recruited and proficient. there were 202 periods of faculty training in professional development offered.

    Third, within the admissions area, complete of 23,009 transcripts were evaluated, which offers prospective students the advice they want with the intention to make a decision to beginning a program. Fourth, in monetary aids, 157,334 info were touched. Fifth within the scheduling enviornment, 20,128 classes have been scheduled with a normal type size of 14.three.

    Sixth, their tutorial counselors carried out with the aid of 525,548 activities on behalf of students in the quarter, together with activities such as welcome calls to new college students, course reminder calls, GPA concerns, attendance, finance expenses, missing documents, practicum or licensure observe-up and schedules developed or changed.

    Seventh within the technical help area, 52.64% of calls were answered with out a hang time and have placed on cling, the usual became 1 minute and 34 seconds. Eighth their promoting work changed into very effective and provided the critical coverage to exceed their companions enrollment dreams.

    Ninth, they proceed to enhance their technology platform all over the primary quarter. we're at present engaged on over 50 software tasks. They persisted to enhance the use of their cloud computing structures for GCU, cyber safety, IT and engineering classes. we're finishing an upgrade of their getting to know administration platform supporting all additional -- all average and on-line GCU college students.

    As of today, over ninety five% of all students are the use of the updated platform. They proceed to make use of their deep analytics platform to increase student help. one of the areas they use this information is, in automating the request for and assortment of the a variety of documents and different agreements involving diverse application necessities.

    GCE has invested over $200 million in superior applied sciences, resulting in automatic capabilities and synthetic intelligence to support college students, school and counselors over the remaining 10 years. I actually have simply reviewed some of those. The aim going ahead is to enforce these capabilities over six core boom techniques. The goal is to work with companions to deliver excessive nice educational services for you to produce exceptional outcome metrics for the college and profession alternatives for college kids.

    The metrics encompass, however don't seem to be restricted to, excessive graduation costs, high flow costs on conclusion-of-application exams the place acceptable, low debt quantities and low default fees on pupil loans.

    First, GCU provides advertising, recruiting and counseling functions for GCU's traditional campus. I indicated in the fourth quarter call, the tuition anticipated about eight,000 new college students this fall. despite the fact, it looks like that quantity should be nearer to 7,700. The 300 fewer new students are the result of not having satisfactory beds to accommodate the demand.

    GCU built three new home halls for the upcoming 12 months, bringing the total variety of house halls on campus to 23. and every bed on its campus can be stuffed in the fall. There are in fact two tremendous trends right here. One, the number of returning college students to campus is estimated to be up 300 over what they envisioned and returning students were given precedence over new students in reserving a mattress. Two, the revenues on GCU's floor campus remains expected to be what they initially predicted, even with the 300 fewer new students.

    The room and board salary may be up as a result of as a percent of all college students living on GCU's campus will go from 59% to 63%, on an increase of seven% in the student physique. The extra tremendous information is that GCU beginning in 2020 may have the money to proceed to make investments in the building out of its campus to over 30,000 college students.

    2d, GCU's on-line campus grew within the high-single digits in the first quarter. GCE offered the advertising and marketing, recruitment and counselling capabilities for this effort and as they now have stated, for a couple of years, they are expecting the boom degree to finally be between 6% and seven%. GCU continues to rollout new classes to assist this effort and has plans to rollout 18 new programs, emphasis areas and certificates all through the remainder of this calendar 12 months.

    Third, GCE is in a robust position to assist the speedy growth of Orbis. Orbis currently has 17 partners beneath contract. 11 of those companions are currently enrolling college students with three extra set to join students in 2019 and the other three in 2020. Orbis expects to sign between three and 5 additional partners by the end of 2019, bringing the full to between 20 and 22.

    We are expecting to open five to seven new sites all the way through the relaxation of 2019, bringing the total sites to between 23 and 25. This represents more than the critical volume of undertaking to achieve a greater than 35% enrollment increase cost in courses serviced by way of Orbis education in 2020.

    Fourth, Orbis will companion with GCU and its pre-licensure application to add places within the western vicinity of the us. GCU's pre-licensure software produced ninety one.5% first-time move charges on NCLEX examination in 2018 and a ninety eight.2% flow rate within the quarter just accomplished. This changed into accomplished while having -- additionally having the largest program within the state, which is critical given the nursing shortage predicted over the subsequent five years.

    Fifth, they are able to proceed to work with Orbis to expand additional healthcare classes to its associate. eventually, classes such because the nurse practitioner program, occupational therapy and actual remedy will be delivered. Sixth, GCU will proceed to work to benefit further university companions. we're at present working with four universities within the Midwest and Northeast and trust they will have something to announce earlier than the end of the calendar yr.

    We continue to focal point on universities with geographic and programmatic differentiation. It continues to appear to be their accelerated group of capabilities will deliver a point of differentiation in marketplace OPMs.

    Now turning to the effects of operations. As a reminder, starting July 1, 2018, outcomes of their operations do not encompass the college operations of GCU, however fairly reflect the operations of GCE as a service know-how provider. for this reason, for comparability applications, they will talk about amounts on an adjusted basis as is discussed in a minute.

    moreover, on January 22, 2019, GCE achieved the acquisition of Orbis. therefore, the consequences for the primary quarter of 2019 consist of Orbis economic outcomes from January 22, 2019 via March 31, 2019.

    provider revenues had been $197.3 million in the first quarter of 2019, compared to $275.7 million of tuition-linked salary in the prior year. Had GCE, GCU transaction passed off on January 1, 2018, comparable provider fee profits would have been $one hundred sixty five.4 million in the first quarter of 2018. This represents an increase of 19.3% between first quarter of 2018 and first quarter of 2019 on a comparable foundation.

    The increase 12 months-over-yr is comparable as adjusted earnings was essentially because of their Orbis acquisition on January 22, 2019 and the enhance in GCU enrollments between years. The partnership agreements that were got as part of the Orbis acquisition generally generate a far better earnings per scholar in their partnership with GCU, as these agreements commonly have higher profits.

    The Orbis companions have larger training charges than GCU and the bulk of these college students are researching in an accelerated Bachelor of Science in Nursing software, so these college students take on ordinary extra credit per semester.

    conclusion of duration enrollments improved 11.3% quarter-over-quarter to one hundred and one,679 from ninety one,378. As adjusted working earnings and as adjusted operating margin for the three months ended March 31, 2019 have been $78.2 million and 39.6% respectively. As adjusted operating profits and as adjusted working margin for the three months ended March 31 2018 had been $68 million and 41.1% respectively.

    GCE will continue to reinvest earnings to create further academic infrastructure for their companion institutions as a way to create more opportunity for college kids and households. expertise and educational features grew from $10.7 million in the first quarter of 2018, to $19 million in the first quarter of 2019, an increase of $eight.3 million or seventy eight%. This increase changed into essentially attributable to the associate agreements obtained within the Orbis acquisition, which requires certain technology and academic functions, including headcount, classroom facilities and equipment to be provided to each institution companion. These prices, together with the improved charge to service their existing client, GCU's accelerated enrollment outcomes in the boost.

    As a percent of related revenue, these prices extended 320 basis points to 9.7%, from 6.5% essentially as a result of the associate agreements acquired, requiring a far better stage of technology and educational functions than their associate settlement with GCU.

    Counseling capabilities and support costs grew from $50.7 million within the first quarter of 2018 to $fifty three.1 million in the first quarter of 2019, a rise of $2.3 million or 4.6%. This boost changed into primarily brought on by the associate agreements got within the acquisition, which requires certain counseling functions that help basically headcount to be supplied to every institution associate.

    These fees, together with the increased cost to carrier their simple institution associate, GCU's extended enrollment resulted in the enhance. As a percentage of related salary, these costs lowered 380 foundation facets in comparison to 26.9% from the 30.7% essentially due to the counseling capabilities and assist charge to carrier the got companion agreements being less as a percent of revenues and the cost to carrier GCU and due to their skill to leverage their counseling capabilities and assist expenses across an increasing profits base.

    advertising and conversation charges as a p.c of comparable salary, multiplied eighty groundwork features from quarter one 2018 to quarter one 2019. This enhance is basically because of the promoting charge linked to advertising their new school companions classes.

    frequent and administrative prices increased $four.1 million between years, and as a percent of related profits, improved one hundred thirty basis aspects to five.8% in Q1 2019 from four.5% in Q1 2018. This boost turned into basically because of raises in expert costs, increases in worker compensation and benefit cost between years, and raises in occupancy and depreciation.

    Our increase in expert charges is basically involving a fee made to an out of doors company that assisted us in acquiring these state tax refund with a favorable tax have an effect on of $5.9 million in the first quarter of 2019. Their increases in worker compensation and occupancy and depreciation are primarily involving the acquisition, including extra headcount and workplace area in Indiana.

    With that, i need to show it over to Dan Bachus their CFO to give a bit greater colour on their 2019 first quarter, discuss adjustments in the profits remark, steadiness sheet and different items as well as to provide information -- 2019 information.

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief fiscal Officer

    Thanks, Brian. including their kind 8-okay filed with the SEC, we've blanketed non-GAAP net salary and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share for the three months ended March 31, 2019. The non-GAAP quantities exclude the tax-effected volume of the amortization of intangible assets, and a loss on transaction amounts blanketed in their consolidated revenue observation.

    The amortizable intangible belongings acquired in the Orbis acquisition totaled $210.3 million and amortization cost within the first quarter of 2019 was $1.7 million. The loss on transaction of $4.1 million essentially represents advisory and legal fees linked to the Orbis acquisition. They accept as true with the non-GAAP financial tips allows buyers to develop a extra significant realizing of the business's performance over time.

    As adjusted, non-GAAP diluted salary per share for the three months ended March 31, 2019 is $1.62. provider profits passed their expectations in the first quarter of 2019 due to three components. First, revenues generated through their partnership with GCU was greater than expected, essentially because of greater ancillary revenues throughout the duration. GCU enrollments were commonly based on their expectations. second, enrollments and classes serviced with the aid of Orbis had been slightly better than their expectations, which resulted in larger revenues for the quarter.

    ultimate, as they finalize the accounting for the Orbis acquisition, they realized an extra day of salary, which represents approximately $1 million, can be recognized within the first quarter. they now have reduced 2d quarter estimates via an equivalent quantity. Their beneficial tax rate for the first quarter of 2019 turned into 13.5% compared to 18.8% in the first quarter of 2018.

    The decrease within the positive tax price resulted from an contract with the Arizona department of salary regarding prior to now filed refund claims related to earnings tax obligations for prior calendar years, which resulted in a positive tax have an impact on of $5.9 million recorded as a discrete tax merchandise in the first quarter of 2019.

    also, they proceed to get hold of a benefit of extra tax advantages and recorded a positive have an effect on from extra tax merits of $four.5 million in Q1 2019, in comparison to $5.three million in Q1 2018. Their valuable tax fee turned into reduce than expected. First quarter suggestions turned into 17.3% essentially due to a more robust than expected extra tax improvement. therefore, approximately $0.06 of the profits beat is as a result of the decrease effective tax price.

    We repurchased a 107,527 shares of their commonplace inventory within the first quarter of 2019 at a cost of approximately $10 million. They had $seventy eight.1 million attainable beneath their share repurchase authorization at March 31, 2019.

    Turning to the steadiness sheet and cash flows. complete unrestricted cash and brief-term investments at March 31, 2019 were $102.7 million. restricted money and cash equivalents have been $300,000 as of March 31, 2019 and represents pledged collateral for a newly received lease site.

    GCE CapEx in the first quarter of 2019, including CapEx for brand new Orbis associate sites, changed into approximately $four.6 million or 2.three% of net income. They continue to consider that GCE's 2019 CapEx should range between $20 million and $25 million, consisting primarily of utility construction and the buildout of Orbis partner areas.

    We funded CapEx on behalf of GCU in the course of the secured notes of about $30 million in the first quarter of 2019, and still expect to fund about $a hundred million in 2019. This funding is part accomplished the 2018/2019 college 12 months undertaking and three further house fashion residence halls and a parking storage for the 2019-2020 school year.

    in keeping with contemporary conversations with the GCU, it remains doubtless that the tuition will now not request us to proceed to fund its CapEx after this 12 months because the institution anticipates that it will be able to fund its personal CapEx relocating forward.

    On January 22, 2019, along with the closing of the Orbis acquisition, GCE entered into an amended and restated credit contract and two connected amendments that collectively supply a credit facility of $325 million, produced from a term personal loan facility of $243.8 million and a revolving credit facility of $81.3 million, both with a 5-year maturity date.

    The term facility is discipline to quarterly amortization of fundamental, starting up with the first quarter ended June 30, 2019 in equal installments of 5% at the major amount of the time period facility per quarter. each the time period personal loan and revolver have monthly pastime payments currently at 30 day LIBOR, plus an applicable margin of two%.

    The proceeds of the time period personal loan along side $6.3 million drawn under the revolver and cash handy were used to pay the buy expense in the acquisition. Concurrent with the acquisition and credit score settlement, they repaid their $fifty nine.9 million in time period debt and a money collateral of $61.7 million become released.

    last, i need to supply color on the assistance they have supplied for the relaxation of 2019. The guidance we've provided is still non-GAAP adjusted net revenue and internet profits per share as they exclude amortization of bought intangible assets and loss on transactions.

    we now have expanded earnings assistance for the complete yr as a result of the primary quarter beat and have reduced 2nd quarter revenue assistance via $1 million as I explained earlier. They raised working margin a little bit for the 2nd quarter, given decrease than at the beginning anticipated cost tendencies such that second quarter working income remains the identical as in the beginning forecast.

    Our information nonetheless assumes an excellent tax rate apart from contributions made in true property profits taxes to be 24.5% in Q2, 24.6% in Q3 and 24.1% in this fall. The year-over-yr increase in the beneficial tax fee, chiefly in the fourth quarter is because of higher estimated state earnings tax because of the transaction, one-time components exchange benefit bought within the fourth quarter of 2018 and due to the contributions in lieu of state profits taxes not being factored into their assistance.

    If a contribution in lieu of state revenue taxes is made in the third quarter of 2019, you could have the effect of increasing universal, administrative expenses and extending salary tax expense. despite the fact they may repurchase further shares all through 2019. These estimates don't anticipate repurchases apart from those made in the first quarter.

    i will be able to now turn the name over to the moderator, in order that they are able to reply questions.

    Questions and answers:

    Operator

    thanks, (Operator guidelines) Their first query comes from the line of Peter Appert of Piper Jaffray. Your line is open.

    Peter Appert -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

    Thanks. decent afternoon. So I did not have an opportunity to appear on the Q, but are you breaking out the -- notably, the revenues and the working salary of Orbis?

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief economic Officer

    We do not apart from the seasoned forma disclosures which are required under the ten-Q or SEC rule. So, there is some disclosure when it comes to Orbis income in the 10-Q, in addition to some seasoned forma working earnings information.

    Peter Appert -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

    okay. That sounds in fact advanced to reply. probably that you would be able to simply supply me the answer when it comes to just current profitability of the Orbis business and expectations and the way that developments?

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief economic Officer

    sure, amazing query. So, Orbis, as they mentioned ultimate quarter, their expectation with Orbis could be net breakeven from an EBIT standpoint for the 12 months, except the amortization of the intangible property. and obviously, the hobby fee, which is on the GCE level. They did a little bit more suitable than that -- improved than they expected in the first quarter, however their expectations for the leisure of the 12 months stay the same.

    And so, they expect they are going to make a bit little bit of funds this yr from an EBIT standpoint and revenue is frequently in response to their expectations. It turned into a bit bit higher than they anticipated, excluding this $1 million that moved from a -- or the $1 million that they spoke of in the first quarter. but -- so, revenue, they predict to be generally be in line with the counsel that they gave for the 12 months for them.

    Peter Appert -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

    bought it. after which, Dan, does the profitability of Orbis take a step up or a meaningful step up subsequent year as the cohorts mature?

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief fiscal Officer

    sure, the expectation is, and unless they finalize precisely what number of rollout of new sites will turn up subsequent yr, it be -- it strikes, however the expectation is, with all the sites that can be opening in 2018 and 2019 moving towards full occupancy. It will be extra profitable next yr than it is that this year.

    Peter Appert -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

    got it. and then, simply thinking for Orbis for a sec, the partnership with Grand Canyon institution, may you extend a bit bit on that and are you giving Grand Canyon institution an exclusivity on a geographic foundation in definite markets and simply how big you suppose that may be?

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief govt Officer, President and Director

    There isn't any exclusivity. They are just including GCU's application as a different software that may also be used to expand it to new markets. And so, there are markets within the west, where it will be very logical for GCU's program to be the issuer. They aren't actually speaking certainly about which markets these are, but if it only makes sense, they have a really giant application and it literally doubles or even triples the measurement of most nursing classes in the nation. So, their capabilities are huge. Their NCLEX consequences are giant and so, it could be logical to use GCU's software in certain markets. They just haven't identified particularly, which of them they're yet.

    Peter Appert -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

    ok. Thanks, Brian and only one ultimate element. The delivery number up high-single-digits, I think you said, I accept as true with that compares with low-teens last quarter. So any comments Brian when it comes to that relative performance this quarter versus closing?

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief government Officer, President and Director

    No. Fourth quarter changed into potent. This quarter became mighty, not reasonably as robust, however it's still first rate. Is it aggressive available? it be totally competitive available. And so, they nevertheless are saying there are long-term goals with on-line enrollments through GCU with 6% to 7% and they want to be in a position to hit that with high best students and so, they suppose first rate about what they did within the first quarter. Why it's good, but they feel first rate about what they did.

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief fiscal Officer

    essential factor is, it became in keeping with their expectations of excessive-single digits. One factor to be certain everybody remembers is that, this company is terribly seasonal. the first and third quarters are an awful lot larger birth intervals, as a result of the natural spring and fall begins. And so, a high-single-digit new start for the primary quarter is, individually and doubtless Brian echoes here's, it be just as dazzling as a low-teenagers 2nd or fourth quarter new birth.

    Peter Appert -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

    received it. thank you.

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief govt Officer, President and Director

    Yeah, I wager, but when it be -- we're comparing quarter-over-quarter, quarter over second quarter, so --

    Peter Appert -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

    All appropriate. thank you.

    Operator

    thank you. And their subsequent question comes from the road of Jeff Silber of BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open.

    Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

    thank you so much. Forgive me, I sort of reduce accessible prior. however I believe you observed when it comes to the advantage new companions update, would you be proposing us greater color by using the conclusion of the yr. Is that what is the purpose?

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief government Officer, President and Director

    Yeah. we're making growth with a number of competencies partners and that i did make a conservative statement that they predict to have an announcement before the conclusion of the calendar year. I predict it to be earlier than that. however we're working with four talents companions fairly diligently within the Midwest and the Northeast and feel respectable it truly is whatever good is going to turn up earlier than (numerous speakers)

    Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

    ok. All correct. it's superb. and also you did say, or not it's a conservative estimate and clearly, there's lots of moving parts, so maybe things out of your manage, however hopefully they get some suggestions towards the end of the 12 months early cease or the conclusion of the year that could be exquisite. If i will simply shift again to Orbis, you have got owned this enterprise, I guess, a bit about three.5 months or so, what did you be trained over that time period that you might no longer have widely used before?

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief executive Officer, President and Director

    We knew that when you get into this many partnerships and expertise locations, there's all the time hiccups that you do not have rather as a lot manage over when or not it's only a single entity like once they had been Grand Canyon school. So, occasionally, a put -- a beginning could must be pushed back for a number of months and so there are those things that they are studying about. however we're also on the different aspect of it, researching how massive this industry is.

    we're going to conservatively want a 1 million extra nurses during this nation in only the subsequent five years. And the current supply or inventory of the usual universities isn't -- come near assembly that need. and that's the reason relatively normal throughout the country. it is not via geography. it's pretty customary right through the nation. And so, they suppose Orbis has an important mannequin and with their capacity to assist it with funding and with computerized technology features, they are bullish on and they feel that here's going to be a pretty good business and one which is going to healthy a very potent --

    Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

    ok, and --

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief government Officer, President and Director

    Go forward.

    Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

    No, i used to be going to conclude. I express regret.

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief executive Officer, President and Director

    No, i used to be just saying, it's such a win-win deal. the universities need aid. Orbis is inclined to give it. they are aiding Orbis and the students are actually benefiting, because they're entering into decent paying jobs and hospitals are elated. So, or not it's a really superb enterprise.

    Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

    ok. it truly is tremendous. after which simply, finally just moving lower back to Grand Canyon college, I feel you had outlined that you simply hope to be suggested by the school that they may be capable of fund themselves beginning in 2020. Roughly when will the institution make that decision? And what does that intend?

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief financial Officer

    Yeah. I think it's going to happen in the 2nd half of this yr and i believe it be just come all the way down to their comfort degree in their becoming cash balances and what their CapEx needs are for 2020. however, the tuition is doing extremely smartly financially. And their money balances are transforming into. And so, what they have now been instructed is, I think they have become more and more relaxed that they can fund their personal CapEx next yr.

    Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

    okay. incredible to hear. Thanks so lots.

    Operator

    thanks. And their subsequent question is from the road of Jeff Mueller of Baird. Your line is open.

    Nick Nikitas -- Baird -- Analyst

    hi there thanks. good afternoon guys. here is Nick Nikitas on for Jeff. just for the clarification on the brand new enrollment, i may have misheard this, but Brian, i assumed you referred to some thing changed into up low-teenagers. changed into that not the working -- the working college students now not the online starts?

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief government Officer, President and Director

    in the event you consist of the Orbis starts, or not it's up low-young adults. however then they took that out as for their comparables -- a fair evaluation became up single digits -- high-single digits. but low-young adults in case you encompass Orbis.

    Nick Nikitas -- Baird -- Analyst

    acquired you. it is effective. simply looking into Q2 and over, I wager, the returned half of the 12 months, the comps will get a little bit more challenging. however have you viewed any alternate admired over the fresh months or relatively consistent with Q1?

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief govt Officer, President and Director

    alternate famous isn't there. The increase in competitors is what's there. There is just greater choices. And there remains more selections. So, I think that is a good question, because I consider americans expect as a result of the surge in financial system and the incontrovertible fact that there are a lot of jobs obtainable that there could be at some point, a lessen within the demand. I think, they are a bit bit lucky in that they are inclined to have college students in areas the place inspite of jobs being attainable, they need to improving their latest positions. And so, they haven't been impacted by it to this factor. nonetheless it is whatever thing to watch very cautiously because I believe there is lots of people are expecting it.

    Nick Nikitas -- Baird -- Analyst

    okay. and then, just transferring to Orbis, given every little thing occurring there and what seems like a very fine runway, how are you guys considering about the timing of the skills OPM announcement? I imply, Brian, you mentioned that you just still are expecting whatever via the conclusion of the 12 months, but is there any concept that with the skills with Orbis, specifically leveraging GCU's brand throughout the West Coast that -- might be that lets you push returned your timeline at all and focal point on Orbis greater? Or how are you guys considering that?

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief executive Officer, President and Director

    No, they actually have their handful with Orbis and they in reality, really love their company and things are going smartly and it's definitely smartly run. however it is now not negatively impacting the time they spent on the other aspect. They just -- they are looking for -- as they have now been telling you, they are looking for the right programmatic differentiation and the correct geographic differentiation. They are searching for excessive best companions specially within the Midwest and the Northeast. but I consider the pleasing thing about what they have the skills to do is, number one, their services may be some distance more suitable in terms of the extent of the features. but then it's all kinds of wonderful issues there they are going to be able to do with talents partners which will -- it should be actually more of a partnership than a consumer's relationship. and i do not are looking to speak more about that now. however once they make some announcements, I believe, you're going to have in mind what i'm talking about.

    Nick Nikitas -- Baird -- Analyst

    k. great. after which just one remaining one on the CapEx. they are thinking post-2019. is this variety of $20 million to $25 million a good run price assuming GCU handles that internally on their books? Or will that continue to develop with Orbis launching new partnerships?

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief fiscal Officer

    it's highly elegant on how many new locations which are rolled out within the yr. but I consider, somewhere doubtless $20 million to $30 million is doubtless a superb estimate.

    Nick Nikitas -- Baird -- Analyst

    ok. Thanks, guys.

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief monetary Officer

    we now have reached the conclusion of their first quarter conference name. They appreciate your time and activity in Grand Canyon training. in case you nonetheless have questions, please contact myself, Dan Bachus. thanks to your time.

    Operator

    women and gents, thank you for your participation in modern-day convention. This does conclude the software. You may additionally now disconnect. all and sundry have an excellent day.

    length: 35 minutes

    call members:

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief financial Officer

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief govt Officer, President and Director

    Peter Appert -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

    Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

    Nick Nikitas -- Baird -- Analyst

    more LOPE evaluation

    All income name transcripts

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