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Inventory and Order Management Fundamentals education

Grand Canyon training Inc (LOPE) Q1 2019 earnings call Transcript | 1Z0-226 Real Questions and VCE Practice Test

Logo of jester cap with thought bubble.

photograph source: The Motley idiot.

Grand Canyon education Inc (NASDAQ:LOPE)Q1 2019 income CallMay. 7, 2019, four:30 p.m. ET

Contents:
  • prepared Remarks
  • Questions and solutions
  • name individuals
  • prepared Remarks:

    Operator

    decent day, girls and gents, and welcome to the first Quarter 2019 Grand Canyon training revenue conference call. at the present, all individuals are in a listen-best mode. And later, they will conduct a question-and-reply session. (Operator instructions) As a reminder, this convention is being recorded. i would now like to hand the name over to Mr. Dan Bachus, CFO. You can also begin.

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief economic Officer

    thank you. joining me on cutting-edge call is their Chairman and CEO, Brian Mueller. Please word that many of their comments these days will include ahead-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. various elements might trigger their genuine consequences to be materially distinct from any future results expressed or implied by such statements. These components are discussed in their SEC filings, together with their Annual document on kind 10-okay, quarterly stories on kind 10-Q and existing experiences on kind eight-ok. They undertake no obligation to supply updates with regard to the forward-searching statements made all the way through this name and they advocate that all buyers evaluation these reviews totally before taking a economic position in GCE.

    And with that, i will be able to flip the call over to Brian.

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief executive Officer, President and Director

    decent afternoon, and welcome to Grand Canyon schooling's first quarter fiscal 12 months 2019 convention call. right through the first quarter of 2019, enrollment in the classes at their accomplice universities for which they deliver capabilities accelerated eleven.three% to a hundred and one,679. This boost comprises 3,384 enrollments in classes serviced through Orbis education as of March 31, 2019. New working adult students attending in their associate institutions grew in the low teens 12 months-over-year. On a related basis, total enrollment grew eight.5% and new enrollments grew within the excessive single digits.

    I want to start by using reviewing the whole scope of services offered via Grand Canyon education to Grand Canyon university right through the first quarter and eventually to extra companion associations. it's the breadth of functions that can be some of the defining features of Grand Canyon education OPM market.

    First, from the curriculum building enviornment , four new classes have been launched to the institution. These programs had been master of Social Work, grasp of Arts in better schooling pupil Affairs, Bachelor of Science in Public fitness, and training specialist, instructing and researching.

    there were three emphasis areas released within the quarter. these have been grasp of Public Administration with an emphasis in non-profit administration, grasp of Science and arithmetic with an emphasis in training, grasp of Science in mental health and well being with an emphasis on built-in fitness.

    There also eight new graduate certificates final touch in areas of communications, English, heritage, mathematics, sociology, intellectual health and wellness with an emphasis on Christian ministry, mental fitness and wellbeing with an emphasis in grief and bereavement, in healthcare best and affected person security.

    2nd from functions enviornment, there were 238 full-time and adjunct school recruited and expert. there were 202 classes of school training in skilled building provided.

    Third, in the admissions enviornment, total of 23,009 transcripts were evaluated, which gives prospective students the tips they need in an effort to make a call to start a application. Fourth, in fiscal aids, 157,334 information had been touched. Fifth in the scheduling enviornment, 20,128 classes were scheduled with an average category dimension of 14.3.

    Sixth, their academic counselors carried out by means of 525,548 activities on behalf of students within the quarter, including activities comparable to welcome calls to new college students, direction reminder calls, GPA issues, attendance, finance fees, lacking documents, practicum or licensure observe-up and schedules constructed or modified.

    Seventh within the technical guide area, 52.sixty four% of calls have been answered with out a hang time and have positioned on hang, the commonplace became 1 minute and 34 seconds. Eighth their promoting work became very effective and provided the fundamental coverage to exceed their companions enrollment desires.

    Ninth, they proceed to boost their know-how platform right through the first quarter. they are currently engaged on over 50 software projects. They continued to raise the use of their cloud computing platforms for GCU, cyber protection, IT and engineering classes. we're completing an improve of their getting to know administration platform assisting all further -- all typical and on-line GCU college students.

    As of these days, over ninety five% of all students are the usage of the updated platform. They continue to use their deep analytics platform to improve scholar assist. one of the vital areas they use this information is, in automating the request for and assortment of the various files and other agreements regarding diverse application necessities.

    GCE has invested over $200 million in advanced technologies, leading to automatic features and synthetic intelligence to guide college students, school and counselors over the final 10 years. I even have just reviewed some of those. The goal going ahead is to put into effect those capabilities over six core growth suggestions. The purpose is to work with partners to deliver high satisfactory educational features so that you can produce first-class effect metrics for the college and profession opportunities for college students.

    The metrics consist of, however aren't confined to, high graduation rates, excessive flow costs on end-of-software tests where appropriate, low debt amounts and low default charges on pupil loans.

    First, GCU offers marketing, recruiting and counseling functions for GCU's ordinary campus. I indicated in the fourth quarter name, the tuition anticipated about eight,000 new college students this fall. however, it seems like that quantity should be nearer to 7,seven hundred. The 300 fewer new students are the effect of no longer having satisfactory beds to accommodate the demand.

    GCU constructed three new residence halls for the upcoming 12 months, bringing the whole variety of house halls on campus to 23. and each bed on its campus might be crammed in the fall. There are in reality two advantageous trends here. One, the variety of returning students to campus is estimated to be up 300 over what they expected and returning college students were given priority over new college students in reserving a bed. Two, the revenues on GCU's ground campus is still predicted to be what they initially anticipated, even with the 300 fewer new students.

    The room and board earnings can be up as a result of as a percent of all college students dwelling on GCU's campus will go from fifty nine% to 63%, on an increase of 7% within the pupil physique. The additional positive information is that GCU starting in 2020 can have the money to proceed to invest within the constructing out of its campus to over 30,000 students.

    second, GCU's on-line campus grew within the excessive-single digits within the first quarter. GCE offered the advertising, recruitment and counselling features for this effort and as we've referred to, for a few years, they are expecting the boom level to at last be between 6% and 7%. GCU continues to rollout new programs to guide this effort and has plans to rollout 18 new classes, emphasis areas and certificates during the remainder of this calendar year.

    Third, GCE is in a powerful place to assist the rapid enlargement of Orbis. Orbis at the moment has 17 companions under contract. 11 of those companions are currently enrolling students with three greater set to sign up students in 2019 and the different three in 2020. Orbis expects to signal between three and 5 extra partners by the end of 2019, bringing the total to between 20 and 22.

    We predict to open five to seven new websites all over the leisure of 2019, bringing the overall websites to between 23 and 25. This represents more than the necessary volume of activity to obtain a more desirable than 35% enrollment growth rate in programs serviced by way of Orbis education in 2020.

    Fourth, Orbis will associate with GCU and its pre-licensure application so as to add areas in the western vicinity of the U.S.. GCU's pre-licensure application produced ninety one.5% first-time circulate prices on NCLEX examination in 2018 and a 98.2% move expense within the quarter just achieved. This turned into completed whereas having -- additionally having the biggest program in the state, which is critical given the nursing shortage anticipated over the subsequent five years.

    Fifth, they will proceed to work with Orbis to extend further healthcare classes to its accomplice. finally, courses such as the nurse practitioner software, occupational therapy and actual therapy should be brought. Sixth, GCU will continue to work to benefit additional tuition companions. they are at the moment working with 4 universities in the Midwest and Northeast and accept as true with they can have some thing to announce earlier than the conclusion of the calendar year.

    We proceed to center of attention on universities with geographic and programmatic differentiation. It continues to appear to be their extended community of features will provide a degree of differentiation in industry OPMs.

    Now turning to the outcomes of operations. As a reminder, beginning July 1, 2018, effects of their operations don't encompass the tuition operations of GCU, but reasonably mirror the operations of GCE as a provider technology issuer. therefore, for comparability functions, they can talk about amounts on an adjusted foundation as is discussed in a minute.

    additionally, on January 22, 2019, GCE achieved the acquisition of Orbis. for this reason, the results for the first quarter of 2019 encompass Orbis monetary consequences from January 22, 2019 through March 31, 2019.

    carrier revenues had been $197.three million within the first quarter of 2019, in comparison to $275.7 million of tuition-connected profits within the prior yr. Had GCE, GCU transaction happened on January 1, 2018, similar carrier price salary would had been $one hundred sixty five.four million in the first quarter of 2018. This represents an increase of 19.3% between first quarter of 2018 and first quarter of 2019 on a related foundation.

    The raise yr-over-yr is similar as adjusted profits became basically as a result of their Orbis acquisition on January 22, 2019 and the boost in GCU enrollments between years. The partnership agreements that have been bought as part of the Orbis acquisition generally generate a stronger revenue per scholar in their partnership with GCU, as these agreements commonly have greater income.

    The Orbis companions have higher lessons quotes than GCU and the majority of these students are discovering in an accelerated Bachelor of Science in Nursing software, so these college students tackle standard more credit per semester.

    end of length enrollments extended eleven.3% quarter-over-quarter to one zero one,679 from ninety one,378. As adjusted operating income and as adjusted working margin for the three months ended March 31, 2019 had been $78.2 million and 39.6% respectively. As adjusted operating income and as adjusted operating margin for the three months ended March 31 2018 were $sixty eight million and forty one.1% respectively.

    GCE will continue to reinvest profits to create extra educational infrastructure for their accomplice institutions as a way to create more chance for students and households. technology and academic features grew from $10.7 million within the first quarter of 2018, to $19 million within the first quarter of 2019, an increase of $8.three million or seventy eight%. This boost was primarily caused by the associate agreements received within the Orbis acquisition, which requires definite technology and academic functions, including headcount, school room amenities and gadget to be provided to each tuition accomplice. These expenses, along with the extended charge to service their latest customer, GCU's extended enrollment results in the increase.

    As a % of related profits, these prices increased 320 foundation elements to 9.7%, from 6.5% essentially as a result of the companion agreements got, requiring a better stage of technology and educational capabilities than their partner settlement with GCU.

    Counseling capabilities and support costs grew from $50.7 million within the first quarter of 2018 to $53.1 million within the first quarter of 2019, an increase of $2.three million or four.6%. This boost turned into primarily attributable to the accomplice agreements bought within the acquisition, which requires certain counseling capabilities that assist principally headcount to be supplied to every school partner.

    These fees, along with the accelerated charge to provider their simple institution accomplice, GCU's improved enrollment resulted within the increase. As a percent of comparable income, these fees reduced 380 basis aspects in comparison to 26.9% from the 30.7% essentially because of the counseling functions and assist cost to service the got partner agreements being much less as a percent of revenues and the cost to provider GCU and thanks to their means to leverage their counseling features and aid costs throughout an increasing earnings base.

    advertising and communique prices as a % of comparable earnings, increased eighty groundwork features from quarter one 2018 to quarter one 2019. This raise is primarily due to the promoting cost associated with advertising their new college companions programs.

    time-honored and administrative expenses elevated $4.1 million between years, and as a percent of similar income, extended 130 basis aspects to 5.eight% in Q1 2019 from four.5% in Q1 2018. This raise became basically because of increases in skilled charges, increases in worker compensation and benefit cost between years, and increases in occupancy and depreciation.

    Our increase in knowledgeable fees is primarily concerning a charge made to an outdoor issuer that assisted us in acquiring these state tax refund with a good tax affect of $5.9 million in the first quarter of 2019. Their increases in employee compensation and occupancy and depreciation are primarily concerning the acquisition, together with extra headcount and office area in Indiana.

    With that, i want to show it over to Dan Bachus their CFO to supply a little more color on their 2019 first quarter, discuss changes within the income remark, balance sheet and other items in addition to to supply counsel -- 2019 information.

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief fiscal Officer

    Thanks, Brian. including their kind eight-ok filed with the SEC, they now have included non-GAAP net income and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share for the three months ended March 31, 2019. The non-GAAP amounts exclude the tax-effected amount of the amortization of intangible property, and a loss on transaction amounts protected in their consolidated salary observation.

    The amortizable intangible belongings received within the Orbis acquisition totaled $210.three million and amortization price within the first quarter of 2019 changed into $1.7 million. The loss on transaction of $4.1 million essentially represents advisory and criminal fees associated with the Orbis acquisition. They trust the non-GAAP fiscal suggestions permits buyers to develop a greater significant knowing of the enterprise's efficiency over time.

    As adjusted, non-GAAP diluted earnings per share for the three months ended March 31, 2019 is $1.sixty two. provider earnings handed their expectations in the first quarter of 2019 as a result of three components. First, revenues generated via their partnership with GCU changed into better than expected, essentially due to bigger ancillary revenues throughout the length. GCU enrollments had been generally in accordance with their expectations. 2d, enrollments and programs serviced with the aid of Orbis were slightly greater than their expectations, which resulted in better revenues for the quarter.

    remaining, as they finalize the accounting for the Orbis acquisition, they realized an additional day of income, which represents approximately $1 million, might be identified in the first quarter. they now have decreased 2nd quarter estimates via an equivalent amount. Their advantageous tax rate for the primary quarter of 2019 changed into 13.5% in comparison to 18.eight% within the first quarter of 2018.

    The lower within the useful tax rate resulted from an settlement with the Arizona branch of salary regarding up to now filed refund claims regarding revenue tax obligations for prior calendar years, which resulted in a favorable tax influence of $5.9 million recorded as a discrete tax item within the first quarter of 2019.

    additionally, they continue to acquire a benefit of extra tax merits and recorded a good have an effect on from excess tax benefits of $four.5 million in Q1 2019, in comparison to $5.three million in Q1 2018. Their helpful tax fee was lessen than expected. First quarter counsel changed into 17.three% primarily because of a much better than expected extra tax improvement. thus, about $0.06 of the earnings beat is because of the lower beneficial tax expense.

    We repurchased a 107,527 shares of their usual stock in the first quarter of 2019 at a cost of approximately $10 million. They had $78.1 million available under their share repurchase authorization at March 31, 2019.

    Turning to the balance sheet and cash flows. total unrestricted money and short-time period investments at March 31, 2019 were $102.7 million. restrained cash and cash equivalents were $300,000 as of March 31, 2019 and represents pledged collateral for a newly bought lease web site.

    GCE CapEx within the first quarter of 2019, together with CapEx for new Orbis accomplice sites, was about $four.6 million or 2.three% of internet income. They continue to believe that GCE's 2019 CapEx may still range between $20 million and $25 million, consisting basically of software construction and the buildout of Orbis companion areas.

    We funded CapEx on behalf of GCU through the secured notes of approximately $30 million in the first quarter of 2019, and nevertheless expect to fund about $one hundred million in 2019. This funding is a part complete the 2018/2019 school yr challenge and three extra apartment style house halls and a parking storage for the 2019-2020 college yr.

    in line with contemporary conversations with the GCU, it is still seemingly that the university will not request us to continue to fund its CapEx after this yr because the university anticipates that it will be in a position to fund its own CapEx moving forward.

    On January 22, 2019, at the side of the closing of the Orbis acquisition, GCE entered into an amended and restated credit settlement and two connected amendments that collectively give a credit score facility of $325 million, made out of a term mortgage facility of $243.8 million and a revolving credit facility of $eighty one.3 million, both with a 5-yr maturity date.

    The term facility is area to quarterly amortization of foremost, starting up with the primary quarter ended June 30, 2019 in equal installments of 5% on the essential volume of the term facility per quarter. both the time period personal loan and revolver have month-to-month pastime payments at the moment at 30 day LIBOR, plus an applicable margin of two%.

    The proceeds of the term personal loan at the side of $6.3 million drawn under the revolver and cash handy had been used to pay the purchase cost within the acquisition. Concurrent with the acquisition and credit score agreement, they repaid their $59.9 million in term debt and a money collateral of $61.7 million become released.

    remaining, i would like to supply colour on the suggestions we've provided for the relaxation of 2019. The advice we've offered continues to be non-GAAP adjusted internet salary and internet revenue per share as they exclude amortization of bought intangible property and loss on transactions.

    we now have accelerated profits counsel for the full yr as a result of the first quarter beat and have reduced second quarter profits information by means of $1 million as I explained past. They raised operating margin a little bit for the 2d quarter, given decrease than at the beginning anticipated expense tendencies such that second quarter working salary is still the equal as originally forecast.

    Our assistance nonetheless assumes an excellent tax expense with the exception of contributions made in real estate salary taxes to be 24.5% in Q2, 24.6% in Q3 and 24.1% in this autumn. The 12 months-over-yr boost within the constructive tax expense, specially within the fourth quarter is because of larger estimated state revenue tax as a result of the transaction, one-time method exchange improvement acquired in the fourth quarter of 2018 and due to the contributions in lieu of state earnings taxes now not being factored into their suggestions.

    If a contribution in lieu of state income taxes is made in the third quarter of 2019, you could have the effect of increasing ordinary, administrative fees and lengthening salary tax fee. besides the fact that children they could repurchase further shares all the way through 2019. These estimates don't assume repurchases apart from those made in the first quarter.

    i will be able to now turn the name over to the moderator, in order that they are able to answer questions.

    Questions and solutions:

    Operator

    thank you, (Operator instructions) Their first question comes from the road of Peter Appert of Piper Jaffray. Your line is open.

    Peter Appert -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

    Thanks. good afternoon. So I didn't have an opportunity to look on the Q, however are you breaking out the -- peculiarly, the revenues and the operating income of Orbis?

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief financial Officer

    We do not apart from the seasoned forma disclosures which are required under the 10-Q or SEC rule. So, there is some disclosure when it comes to Orbis earnings in the 10-Q, in addition to some professional forma working revenue suggestions.

    Peter Appert -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

    ok. That sounds in reality complex to reply. perhaps you could just supply me the answer in terms of simply current profitability of the Orbis business and expectations and the way that developments?

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief economic Officer

    yes, superb query. So, Orbis, as they observed final quarter, their expectation with Orbis can be net breakeven from an EBIT standpoint for the year, excluding the amortization of the intangible assets. and obviously, the hobby cost, which is at the GCE stage. They did a little bit superior than that -- enhanced than they expected within the first quarter, but their expectations for the leisure of the yr continue to be the same.

    And so, they expect they are going to make a little bit of cash this year from an EBIT standpoint and income is commonly in keeping with their expectations. It became a bit bit larger than they expected, excluding this $1 million that moved from a -- or the $1 million that they mentioned within the first quarter. but -- so, salary, they predict to be frequently be according to the counsel that they gave for the 12 months for them.

    Peter Appert -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

    bought it. after which, Dan, does the profitability of Orbis take a step up or a significant step up next 12 months because the cohorts mature?

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief fiscal Officer

    sure, the expectation is, and except they finalize precisely what number of rollout of recent websites will turn up next 12 months, it be -- it strikes, however the expectation is, with all of the sites that should be opening in 2018 and 2019 moving toward full occupancy. It should be more ecocnomic subsequent 12 months than it is this 12 months.

    Peter Appert -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

    acquired it. after which, simply considering for Orbis for a sec, the partnership with Grand Canyon college, might you expand a little bit on that and are you giving Grand Canyon tuition an exclusivity on a geographic groundwork in certain markets and just how huge you feel that may well be?

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief government Officer, President and Director

    There is no exclusivity. They are only including GCU's application as an additional software that will also be used to expand it to new markets. And so, there are markets in the west, the place it will be very logical for GCU's application to be the company. They aren't basically talking primarily about which markets those are, but when it simplest makes experience, they have a extremely colossal software and it actually doubles or even triples the dimension of most nursing programs within the nation. So, their capabilities are giant. Their NCLEX results are significant and so, it will be logical to make use of GCU's program in certain markets. They just haven't identified peculiarly, which ones they're yet.

    Peter Appert -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

    ok. Thanks, Brian and only 1 final factor. The birth quantity up excessive-single-digits, I feel you noted, I believe that compares with low-teens remaining quarter. So any feedback Brian in terms of that relative efficiency this quarter versus final?

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief executive Officer, President and Director

    No. Fourth quarter turned into potent. This quarter was strong, no longer somewhat as amazing, however's nevertheless good. Is it competitive obtainable? or not it's extremely aggressive obtainable. And so, they still are saying there are long-term dreams with on-line enrollments via GCU with 6% to 7% and they are looking to be capable of hit that with high best college students and so, they think good about what they did in the first quarter. Why or not it's good, however they suppose respectable about what they did.

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief financial Officer

    critical element is, it become based on their expectations of high-single digits. One thing to be sure all and sundry remembers is that, this business is terribly seasonal. the primary and third quarters are an awful lot larger start periods, because of the ordinary spring and fall begins. And so, a excessive-single-digit new delivery for the first quarter is, in my opinion and doubtless Brian echoes here is, it's just as spectacular as a low-teenagers 2nd or fourth quarter new beginning.

    Peter Appert -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

    received it. thanks.

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief executive Officer, President and Director

    Yeah, I wager, but when or not it's -- we're comparing quarter-over-quarter, quarter over 2d quarter, so --

    Peter Appert -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

    All correct. thank you.

    Operator

    thank you. And their next question comes from the line of Jeff Silber of BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open.

    Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

    thank you so a great deal. Forgive me, I type of reduce obtainable prior. but I suppose you referred to when it comes to the capabilities new partners replace, would you be offering us extra colour by means of the conclusion of the yr. Is that what is the aim?

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief govt Officer, President and Director

    Yeah. they are making development with a few abilities companions and i did make a conservative statement that they predict to have an announcement earlier than the conclusion of the calendar yr. I predict it to be earlier than that. however they are working with four potential companions relatively diligently within the Midwest and the Northeast and suppose decent it truly is whatever thing decent is going to ensue earlier than (dissimilar audio system)

    Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

    okay. All right. it really is remarkable. and you did say, it be a conservative estimate and clearly, there's a lot of moving components, so perhaps things out of your control, but optimistically they get some assistance towards the end of the year early cease or the conclusion of the 12 months that might be outstanding. If i can just shift again to Orbis, you have got owned this enterprise, I guess, a bit about 3.5 months or so, what did you be trained over that point period that you simply may now not have favourite before?

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief govt Officer, President and Director

    We knew that if you get into this many partnerships and knowledge locations, there is always hiccups that you will not have quite as much control over when it be only a single entity like when they have been Grand Canyon college. So, every so often, a put -- a birth could have to be pushed back for just a few months and so there are these issues that they are getting to know about. but we're also on the different side of it, learning how massive this market is.

    we're going to conservatively need a 1 million further nurses during this country in just the next 5 years. And the latest deliver or stock of the average universities is rarely -- come near assembly that want. and that's the reason pretty customary all through the nation. this is no longer by geography. it really is pretty usual all over the nation. And so, they consider Orbis has a tremendous model and with their skill to support it with funding and with computerized technology features, we're bullish on and they feel that this is going to be an outstanding company and one which goes to healthy a extremely mighty --

    Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

    k, and --

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief government Officer, President and Director

    Go forward.

    Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

    No, i used to be going to conclude. I express regret.

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief government Officer, President and Director

    No, i used to be simply saying, it is this type of win-win deal. the colleges want assist. Orbis is willing to deliver it. they are assisting Orbis and the students are really benefiting, as a result of they are entering into respectable paying jobs and hospitals are elated. So, it's a very tremendous business.

    Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

    okay. it truly is excellent. after which simply, eventually simply shifting lower back to Grand Canyon school, I consider you had outlined that you simply hope to be counseled by way of the school that they can be capable of fund themselves beginning in 2020. Roughly when will the school make that decision? And what does that intend?

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief economic Officer

    Yeah. I feel it's going to occur within the 2nd half of this yr and that i consider or not it's simply come down to their consolation degree of their turning out to be cash balances and what their CapEx wants are for 2020. but, the tuition is doing extremely neatly financially. And their money balances are growing to be. And so, what we've been told is, I believe they are becoming more and more at ease that they could fund their own CapEx subsequent yr.

    Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

    k. tremendous to hear. Thanks so a good deal.

    Operator

    thank you. And their subsequent query is from the road of Jeff Mueller of Baird. Your line is open.

    Nick Nikitas -- Baird -- Analyst

    whats up thanks. good afternoon guys. here's Nick Nikitas on for Jeff. just for the clarification on the new enrollment, i may have misheard this, but Brian, i believed you spoke of something become up low-teens. turned into that no longer the working -- the working students no longer the on-line starts?

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief executive Officer, President and Director

    when you encompass the Orbis begins, it be up low-young adults. but then they took that out as for their comparables -- a fair assessment become up single digits -- high-single digits. however low-teenagers in case you include Orbis.

    Nick Nikitas -- Baird -- Analyst

    bought you. this is beneficial. just looking into Q2 and over, I guess, the again half of the yr, the comps will get a little bit tougher. but have you seen any alternate prominent over the recent months or relatively per Q1?

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief government Officer, President and Director

    exchange renowned isn't there. The enhance in competitors is what is there. There is only greater selections. And there is still greater choices. So, I think it is a good question, as a result of I consider individuals are expecting as a result of the surge in economic climate and the undeniable fact that there are loads of jobs obtainable that there can be at some aspect, a lessen in the demand. I think, we're a bit bit fortunate in that they tend to have college students in areas the place even with jobs being attainable, they are looking to enhancing their current positions. And so, they have not been impacted by way of it to this aspect. but it is some thing to observe very carefully as a result of I suppose there's lots of people are awaiting it.

    Nick Nikitas -- Baird -- Analyst

    k. after which, simply shifting to Orbis, given every little thing happening there and what seems like a extremely first-class runway, how are you guys pondering concerning the timing of the knowledge OPM announcement? I mean, Brian, you stated that you just still predict some thing by the conclusion of the yr, but is there any concept that with the advantage with Orbis, particularly leveraging GCU's brand all over the West Coast that -- might be that allows you to push back your timeline at all and center of attention on Orbis more? Or how are you guys thinking about that?

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief govt Officer, President and Director

    No, they definitely have their handful with Orbis and they really, really love their enterprise and things are going well and it be in reality neatly run. but this is now not negatively impacting the time they spent on the other aspect. They simply -- they are searching for -- as we've been telling you, they are seeking for the correct programmatic differentiation and the right geographic differentiation. They are seeking for excessive nice partners especially within the Midwest and the Northeast. however I suppose the enjoyable thing about what they have the talents to do is, no 1, their features will be some distance more suitable when it comes to the extent of the functions. but then it be all kinds of exciting issues there they are going to be capable of do with skills companions with a view to -- it can be in reality extra of a partnership than a shopper's relationship. and that i do not are looking to speak more about that now. however once they make some announcements, I believe, you are going to be mindful what i'm talking about.

    Nick Nikitas -- Baird -- Analyst

    ok. notable. and then only 1 final one on the CapEx. we're considering post-2019. is this type of $20 million to $25 million a pretty good run price assuming GCU handles that internally on their books? Or will that proceed to develop with Orbis launching new partnerships?

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief monetary Officer

    it be particularly elegant on what number of new locations which are rolled out in the 12 months. but I feel, someplace doubtless $20 million to $30 million is likely a great estimate.

    Nick Nikitas -- Baird -- Analyst

    ok. Thanks, guys.

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief economic Officer

    we now have reached the conclusion of their first quarter convention call. They recognize your time and hobby in Grand Canyon education. if you nevertheless have questions, please contact myself, Dan Bachus. thank you in your time.

    Operator

    ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation in trendy conference. This does conclude the software. You may now disconnect. all and sundry have a very good day.

    period: 35 minutes

    call contributors:

    Daniel E. Bachus -- Chief monetary Officer

    Brian E. Mueller -- Chief govt Officer, President and Director

    Peter Appert -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

    Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

    Nick Nikitas -- Baird -- Analyst

    greater LOPE evaluation

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